Sep 30, 2019

Poll shows net 20-point swing in favor of impeaching and removing Trump

Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Public opinion on impeaching and removing President Trump from office is continuing to shift in Democrats' favor, according to new Quinnipiac and CNN/SSRS polls released Monday.

The big picture: The polls continue the trend of increased favorability for impeachment in the days since Speaker Nancy Pelosi launched a formal impeachment inquiry into allegations that Trump pushed Ukrainian officials to investigate Joe Biden and his son, Hunter, over unsubstantiated corruption allegations.

By the numbers: Quinnipiac found that 47% of voters favor impeaching and removing Trump from office, compared with 47% who do not. A Quinnipiac poll released on Sept. 25 found showed voters did not want to impeach and remove Trump at 57%-37% split — indicating a net 20-point swing in less than a week.

  • 50% of those surveyed said Trump did something wrong in propositioning Ukraine to investigate Biden, while 40% said he did not. Along party lines, that breaks down to...
    • Democrats: 86%-3%
    • Republicans: 9%-83%
    • Independents: 52%-41%

CNN found a 47%-45% split in favor of impeaching and removing Trump from office, up from 41%-54% in May.

  • CNN notes: "The change since May has largely come among independents and Republicans. About three-quarters of Democrats favor impeaching Trump and removing him from office, roughly the same as in May, while among independents, support for impeachment and removal has risen 11 points to 46% among independents and 8 points to 14% among Republicans."

Between the lines: 56% of those surveyed in the Quinnipiac poll believe members of Congress favor impeaching Trump "more based on partisan politics than on the facts of the case." 36% say the newly invigorated calls for impeachment have been driven by the facts.

Methodology: The Quinnipiac poll was conducted from Sep. 27-29 and surveyed 1,115 adults with a 3.6% margin of error. The CNN poll was conducted from Sep. 24-29 and surveyed 1,009 adults with a 3.5% margin of error.

Go deeper: Pelosi's point of no return

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Joe Biden speaks at Delaware State University's student cente on June 5. Photo: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden became the formal Democratic presidential nominee on Friday evening, per AP.

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Scoop: German foreign minister to travel to Israel with warning on annexation

Heiko Maas. Photo: Michael Kappeler/picture alliance via Getty Images

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas is expected to travel to Israel next week to warn that there will be consequences if Israeli leaders move forward with plans to annex parts of the West Bank, Israeli officials and European diplomats tell me.

Why it matters: Israeli and European officials agree that if Israel goes ahead with unilateral annexation, the EU will respond with sanctions.