Sep 28, 2019

Trump impeachment complicates governor campaigns for red state Democrats

Photo: Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Red state Democrats running for governor in the south may soon have to answer to the inevitable impeachment inquiry led by their own party in the House, AP reports.

Why it matters: Impeachment could easily nationalize campaigns in Kentucky, Mississippi and Louisiana for Republicans, as red state Democrats try to stay under the radar, selling themselves to voters not by their party affiliation but on Trump-free issues.

Go deeper: The process of impeachment

Go deeper

Impeached and re-elected

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

It’s looking more likely by the day that President Trump will be impeached by the House for his dealings with Ukraine. But if he is acquitted by the Senate — and then goes on to win a second term — Democrats will face a predicament neither party has confronted in U.S. history.

Why it matters: If Trump survives politically and is re-elected to serve another four years, Congress likely would have nowhere left to go in the event of another scandal, legal and political experts say — not because the House couldn’t impeach him again, but because it might be politically impossible to do so.

Go deeperArrowOct 10, 2019

Democrats' internal impeachment polling memo

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on Capitol Hill with Rep. Adam Schiff. Photo: Eric Baradat/AFP via Getty Images

While national support for an impeachment inquiry is growing, it's not a clear winner for Democrats in the most competitive House districts just yet.

  • That's according to an internal impeachment polling memo, obtained by Axios, that was sent to House Democrats Thursday night.

Why it matters: Their vulnerable members this cycle are the ones who helped the party win the House in 2018 because they were in districts that flipped from Republican or that Trump won in 2016. They're not in the clear yet, as an impeachment inquiry is only "slightly favorable 49-48," per Democrats' memo.

Go deeperArrowOct 18, 2019

The 2020 impeachment campaign

Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

President Trump is increasingly likely to be impeached by the full House late this year or very early in 2020, on the eve of the first voting in presidential primaries and the official start of his reelection campaign.

Why it matters: This outcome, which seems more certain with each passing hour, means the presidential, Senate and House races will be consumed by impeachment.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Sep 28, 2019