Mar 9, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Polls: Trump loses ground in key battleground states

Photos: Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images; Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

Quarterly polling by Republican-founded Firehouse Strategies and 0ptimus finds that President Trump’s lead dropped considerably against both Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders since December in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Why it matters: Although Trump leads when matched against Biden or Sanders, his leads against Biden are within the margin of error in each state, signaling a tight contest in those key states if the former vice president wins the nomination.

Graphic: Firehouse Strategies
  • Of note: In each of the three states, Trump has wider leads in head-to-head matchups against Sanders than against Biden.

Methodology: This survey was conducted on March 5 through 7 and interviewed a total of 1,582 likely 2020 general election voters in Wisconsin (502), Michigan (550), and Pennsylvania (533) via live landline. Margins of error vary by question and segment but is generally ± 4.7% in WI, ± 4.6% in MI, and ± 5.0% in PA for the topline results.

Go deeper: Why Trump is very beatable

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Sanders assesses path forward after more big Biden wins

Joe Biden speaks in Philadelphia after more crucial wins against Bernie Sanders. Photo: Mark Makela/Getty Images

The big question for Bernie Sanders after Tuesday night's losses: Is there a path back to the Democratic nomination, or is Joe Biden's trajectory unstoppable?

The state of play: Notably, Sanders did not comment on the results. Pressure ramped up on him to concede and Biden carefully began to turn his remarks to the general election after extending his delegate lead in "Super Tuesday 2," with wins in Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho.

Go deeperArrowUpdated Mar 11, 2020 - Politics & Policy

Michigan voter survey: Joe Biden leads Bernie Sanders in electability

Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

Michigan Democrats who voted in person are significantly more likely to think Joe Biden is electable in November than Bernie Sanders, according to AP's VoteCast voter survey.

Why it matters: President Trump won Michigan by less than 11,000 votes in 2016, so every Democratic vote is crucial to the party's hopes of taking it back.

Joe Biden projected to win Michigan Democratic primary

Biden at a rally at Renaissance High School in Detroit Monday. Photo: Scott Olson/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the projected winner of the Democratic presidential primary in Michigan, the biggest contest of the night, according to multiple media outlets.

Why it matters: Bernie Sanders' loss in a state that chose him over Hillary Clinton four years ago goes beyond a symbolic blow — with the potential to hand Biden a significant delegate lead.