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Photo: Al Drago/Getty Images

Maine voters are less likely to support Republican Sen. Susan Collins for re-election if she votes to confirm President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, according to a new Public Policy Polling survey.

Why it matters: Collins is considered a crucial Republican swing vote for confirming Kavanaugh. She has parted ways with the GOP in the past (voting against EPA Adminstrator Scott Pruitt and Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, as well as the Republican health care bill), and she's expressed concern with Kavanaugh's position on reproductive rights.

By the numbers: If Collins votes for Kavanaugh, 47% of Maine voters said they would be less likely to vote for her, while 31% said they would be more likely to support her. 

  • Nearly half (49%) of voters in her state think she should vote against Kavanaugh.
  • And a majority (56%) don't think Collins should vote on the nomination until there's been a full review of Kavanaugh's documents.

Methodology: PPP surveyed 529 Maine voters from August 17-18, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 4.3%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews on behalf of Protect Our Care.

Go deeper

By the numbers: Census to show first decline of white population

Expand chart
Data: U.S. Census Bureau via Brookings Institute; Chart: Sara Wise/Axios

The latest census is expected to show the first decline in history for the nation's non-Hispanic white population, according to an analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data by the Brookings Institution's William Frey.

Why it matters: The U.S. is rapidly moving toward a majority-minority population — with the racial and ethnic diversity most apparent in younger cohorts. "This really is moving in a direction that’s going to favor the issues and the political agendas of these younger people," Frey told Axios.

Democrats plot filibuster workarounds

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Several Democratic lawmakers are moving away from calls to eliminate the filibuster while privately discussing alternatives to bypass it, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: These talks have ramped up in earnest following the Republicans’ move Tuesday to block a measure to protect and expand voting rights.

1 hour ago - Politics & Policy

Infrastructure's remaining potholes

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

President Biden declared victory in announcing the bipartisan infrastructure package. Now comes the hard part: negotiating with his own party on the separate reconciliation bill.

Why it matters: By trying to simultaneously pass two massive spending bills, Biden and congressional leaders are attempting a legislative feat that will likely require Congress to work through its August recess — and potentially well into the fall, according to lawmakers and senior staffers.