Sign up for our daily briefing

Make your busy days simpler with Axios AM/PM. Catch up on what's new and why it matters in just 5 minutes.

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Catch up on the day's biggest business stories

Subscribe to Axios Closer for insights into the day’s business news and trends and why they matter

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Stay on top of the latest market trends

Subscribe to Axios Markets for the latest market trends and economic insights. Sign up for free.

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Sports news worthy of your time

Binge on the stats and stories that drive the sports world with Axios Sports. Sign up for free.

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Tech news worthy of your time

Get our smart take on technology from the Valley and D.C. with Axios Login. Sign up for free.

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Get the inside stories

Get an insider's guide to the new White House with Axios Sneak Peek. Sign up for free.

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Axios on your phone

Get breaking news and scoops on the go with the Axios app.

Download for free.

Catch up on coronavirus stories and special reports, curated by Mike Allen everyday

Catch up on coronavirus stories and special reports, curated by Mike Allen everyday

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Want a daily digest of the top Denver news?

Get a daily digest of the most important stories affecting your hometown with Axios Denver

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Want a daily digest of the top Des Moines news?

Get a daily digest of the most important stories affecting your hometown with Axios Des Moines

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Want a daily digest of the top Twin Cities news?

Get a daily digest of the most important stories affecting your hometown with Axios Twin Cities

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Want a daily digest of the top Tampa Bay news?

Get a daily digest of the most important stories affecting your hometown with Axios Tampa Bay

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Want a daily digest of the top Charlotte news?

Get a daily digest of the most important stories affecting your hometown with Axios Charlotte

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Sign up for Axios NW Arkansas

Stay up-to-date on the most important and interesting stories affecting NW Arkansas, authored by local reporters

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Please enter a valid email.

Please enter a valid email.

Subscription failed
Thank you for subscribing!

Sen. Tim Kaine. Photo: Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call Inc. via Getty Images

Senate Democrats are weighing a Plan B if the bipartisan infrastructure negotiations fail: adding the nearly $600 billion in spending Republicans have already accepted to the $3.5-trillion plan they want to enact alone — a $4.1 trillion overall price tag.

Why it matters: The combination gets the roads and bridges both parties favor; the reconciliation package covers the "soft" climate and child care items wanted by progressives, and Republicans would have to answer why if they oppose a measure that includes all of what they want.

  • The bipartisan talks, which important Democrats like Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) drove and said were critical to securing their votes, are in danger of falling apart in a dispute over how to pay for spending in the $579 billion framework already negotiated.
  • Some Senate Democrats and Republicans also have process concerns: meeting the demand of Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) to move the process along on Wednesday before a bipartisan bill is even drafted.
  • The vote is designed to put pressure on negotiators to wrap up talks, but it could also be what ultimately kills them. Republican senators have asked Schumer to push the vote to Monday.

What they're saying: Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.), a member of the Senate Budget Committee, told Axios he and his fellow members always had a hard target of $4.1 trillion in spending — similar to what President Biden initially proposed.

  • "So we did have the conversation, ‘Well, what if, for some reason, the bipartisan thing doesn't come together?'" Kaine added. "And we decided we could take care of that as we write the reconciliation bill by moving it from $3.5 [trillion] to $4.1 [trillion] and just adding in all the things that the Republicans agreed to."
  • "The reconciliation instruction is ‘spend up to this number,’" Kaine said. "We do look at the two bills as a combined investment, totaling about $4.1 trillion."
  • Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), another member of the Budget Committee, told Axios: “The numbers are still very fluid, to give you my judgment."
  • A Wyden aide said they don’t expect the total number to increase significantly but cautioned certain items could be moved around.

Between the lines: Kaine is one of the first Democrats involved in the reconciliation talks to acknowledge there’s a contingency plan in place.

  • Schumer also set tomorrow as the deadline for getting all 50 Democrats on board with the framework for the budget reconciliation bill.
  • This is more of an informal deadline, though, with the goal of giving the budget committee a green light to begin writing the reconciliation bill.

Be smart: Even though some Democrats have this contingency plan in place, it doesn't mean all 50 Democrats will go for it.

  • "I’m not committed to anything right now except for a bipartisan infrastructure bill," Manchin told reporters Tuesday afternoon.
  • The thinking among other lawmakers is it may be easier for him and Sinema to pass a massive Democrat-only bill now that the group has made a sustained effort to strike a bipartisan deal.

Go deeper

Jul 20, 2021 - Politics & Policy

GOP split over infrastructure messaging

Republicans are looking to Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, seen Monday, for their infrastructure cue. Photo: Tom Brenner/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Republicans are all over the map about how their party should proceed on the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure proposal.

What we're hearing: GOP strategists tell Axios they've struggled over not only whether they support the current Senate negotiations but how to message off the broader infrastructure debate.

Jul 20, 2021 - Politics & Policy

Dems eye infrastructure for Medicare expansion

Sen. Bernie Sanders. Photo: Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Senate Democrats are debating lowering the Medicare eligibility age as part of the $3.5-trillion "soft" infrastructure package, at the risk of jeopardizing centrist support for a measure being pushed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

Why it matters: Giving Americans over age 60 access to Medicare would force Democrats to either add an estimated $200 billion to their overall infrastructure price tag or cut other progressive priorities currently in the package.

House builds infrastructure alliances

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Members of the House are forming alliances and gearing for battle while waiting for the Senate to work out final details of an infrastructure deal.

Why it matters: The lower chamber has been on the sidelines during its two-week recess, yet representatives have been watching senators carefully in anticipation of their own debate on the measures that will be shipped their way.