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Republicans may have won the government shutdown battle, but there is still no winning strategy for the party on immigration.

The bottom line: No one knows what the White House wants on immigration. So while Democrats may be taking the short-term sting from an angry base, the bigger fight comes in three weeks, when Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has committed to take some action on protection for illegal immigrants who came to the U.S. as children, called Dreamers.

What they're saying:

  • Brian McGuire, former chief of staff to McConnell: “I think if there’s one lesson here it’s that the whole idea of filibustering a government funding bill and hoping to get away with it by saying the President’s name a lot was a fairly flawed political strategy.”
  • Jim Manley, a former aide to Harry Reid: "Republicans won vote but the immigration issue isn’t going away anytime soon. Unless they act these DACA recipients are going to start getting deported in a month or so."
  • A Democratic strategist: ""If anyone thinks voters will care about a two day shutdown during midterms in 200 days, they're missing the dynamic here. What voters saw is a Washington controlled by Republicans be utterly dysfunctional." 
  • A former House and Senate leadership aide: "Obviously Republicans won the short term," but going forward, "Republicans in the Senate may be faced with an immigration bill open for amendment, which risks splitting them."

Go deeper: I explained last night why this is such a tough issue for the GOP, and they could easily splinter over what to do.

Go deeper

In photos: Virginians line up for hours on first day of early voting

Photo: Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

In some parts of Virginia, people waited in line up to four hours to cast their ballots on the first day of early voting, according to the Washington Post.

The big picture: The COVID-19 pandemic seems to already have an impact on how people cast their votes this election season. As many as 80 million Americans are expected to vote early, by mail or in person, Tom Bonier, CEO of TargetSmart, a Democratic political data firm, told Axios in August.

Updated 1 hour ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 4:30 p.m. ET: 30,306,469 — Total deaths: 948,147— Total recoveries: 20,626,515Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 4:30 p.m. ET: 6,705,114 — Total deaths: 198,197 — Total recoveries: 2,540,334 — Total tests: 92,163,649Map.
  3. Politics: In reversal, CDC again recommends coronavirus testing for asymptomatic people.
  4. Health: Massive USPS face mask operation called off The risks of moving too fast on a vaccine.
  5. Business: Unemployment drop-off reverses course 1 million mortgage-holders fall through safety netHow the pandemic has deepened Boeing's 737 MAX crunch.
  6. Education: At least 42% of school employees are vulnerable.

Court battles shift mail-in voting deadlines in battleground states

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Michigan joins Pennsylvania in extending mail-in ballot deadlines by several days after the election, due to the coronavirus pandemic and expected delays in U.S. Postal Service.

The latest: Michigan Court of Claims Judge Cynthia Stephens ruled that all ballots postmarked before Nov. 2 must be counted, so long as they arrive in the mail before election results are certified. Michigan will certify its general election results on Nov. 23.