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Sen. Roger Wicker. Photo: Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Top Republican senators are hoping the White House will make some sort of counteroffer to their infrastructure proposal when they meet with President Biden on Thursday, lawmakers and their aides tell Axios.

Why it matters: This is a sign of how serious the negotiations are, they say. In advance of the meeting, some of the senators are already publicly signaling the areas in which they have flexibility.

  • One key compromise was stating they'd be willing to spend up to $800 billion — a big jump from their initial $568 billion offer.
  • $800 billion is the "absolute upper limit" of what Republicans will accept, Sen. Roger Wicker (R-Miss.), a top GOP negotiator on infrastructure, said Tuesday.
  • Their strategy, the sources say, is to set expectations both for their GOP colleagues and the White House, so that when they sit with Biden, they can jump into plotting the significant areas of overlap — such as expanding roads, bridges and highways — that could shape a deal.

Attendees for Thursday's meeting include Wicker and Sens. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.), John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) and Pat Toomey (R-Pa.).

  • "We plan to have a substantive meeting, that's what the president’s planning, too. It's not just ‘Hi, how you doing?’ type stuff," said Capito, the top Republican on the Senate Environmental and Public Works Committee.

Yes, but: The biggest sticking point — how to pay for the package — has not been discussed in earnest, Capito and Wicker said.

  • It's unclear whether senators will even broach the subject until they get closer to an agreement about the basics of the bill, they added.

What we're hearing: Some senators and their aides predict that, if there's any deal at all — and that's a big if — the more aggressive and ambitious pay-fors, like increasing taxes on the wealthy and corporations, will be punted to Biden's "American Families Plan."

  • That split would allow them to be muscled through by Democrats using the budget reconciliation process.
  • “What's to stop them from doing that?" Wicker told Axios, referring to the potential of Democrats delaying plans to raise taxes to pay for Biden's infrastructure proposal.
  • “My idea is to get an infrastructure bill, and then if Democrats want to see if they can convince their constituents to do away with stepped-up basis, and destroy family farms and second-generation businesses, then let them try," Wicker added, referring to what he argues will be the fallout from Biden's proposed tax increases.

Keep in mind: All talk of a potential deal comes with a heavy dose of skepticism.

  • The parties are more polarized than ever, and it'll be hard to sell the entire Senate GOP conference on a bill as pricey as $800 billion when another, far more expensive and progressive Democratic package also is promised.

Go deeper

John Frank, author of Denver
May 11, 2021 - Axios Denver

Colorado Democrats ditch past bipartisan transportation deals in new bill

The Colorado Senate chamber. Photo: Hyoung Chang/The Denver Post via Getty Images

Inside Colorado's new 197-page transportation bill, state Democratic lawmakers are replacing bipartisan ideas with their own agenda.

Why it matters: The lesser-noticed provisions of Senate Bill 260 — which won approval in its first committee Monday — void major elements of current law that drew broad support from Republicans.

Pelosi's Republican playbook

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

As Republicans fight among themselves, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is showing the myriad ways she deals with the GOP herself.

Between the lines: We've seen Pelosi cut opponents off at the knees, like she did with President Trump, or pretend to forget their names, as she did to Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.). Now she's feeding oppo research against her House counterpart, Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), so others can use the same harsh rhetoric to frame the Republicans as the party of dysfunction.

Mike Allen, author of AM
May 10, 2021 - Politics & Policy

Ron Klain: Biden's infrastructure proposal isn't "big government"

In an interview for "Axios on HBO," I challenged White House chief of staff Ron Klain on the contradiction between trying to go big on both big government and bipartisanship.

Driving the news: "I don't think it's big government to fix the ten bridges in this country that are most economically significant and are in serious" disrepair, Klain replied.

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