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The Trump administration is projected to fall short of its record-low cap on refugee arrivals this year, according to State Department data and projections by World Relief, a humanitarian organization that works to resettle and care for refugees.

Expand chart
Data: U.S. State Department's Refugee Processing Center, 2019 projection by World Relief; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

Why it matters: Since Trump took office, the number of refugees admitted to the U.S. has fallen significantly — as has the share of refugees admitted who are non-Christian. Jenny Yang, senior vice president of advocacy and policy at World Relief, told Axios that the low numbers are due to "cumbersome bureaucracy and delays added upon a process that has worked effectively over the past few years."

By the numbers: At 24,369, there have been slightly more refugees resettled in the U.S. this fiscal year compared to this point last year. But in relation to 2016, the overall number of admitted refugees has fallen by 71%, while the number of Muslim arrivals has fallen by 90%.

  • "The low numbers of religious minorities being resettled contradicts the administration's policies and stated goals to actually help persecuted religious minorities around the world," Yang said.

The big picture: The U.S. resettles more refugees than any other wealthy nation, but Canada and Australia now let in more refugees per capita, Yang said. The U.S. also welcomes some humanitarian immigrants through its asylum process — something the Trump administration has targeted through the Justice Department and executive actions.

Go deeper: Read Axios' deep dive on the refugee crisis

Go deeper

3 hours ago - World

U.S. and NATO answer Putin in writing while bracing for Ukraine invasion

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg. Photo: Dursun Aydemir/Anadolu Agency via Getty

The U.S. and NATO provided Russia with written proposals on Wednesday to advance a "diplomatic path forward," even as they warned that Russia could invade Ukraine within days.

Why it matters: This is a delicate diplomatic balancing act. The U.S. and NATO want to show they're serious about diplomacy but unwilling to compromise on "core principles" — all without providing Vladimir Putin with an additional pretext for escalation.

The political leanings of the Supreme Court justices

Data: Martin-Quinn scores; Chart: Axios Visuals

The Supreme Court will continue to have a solid conservative majority even with Justice Stephen Breyer's retirement.

How to read the chart: An analysis by political scientists Andrew Martin and Kevin Quinn, known as the Martin-Quinn Score, places judges on an ideological spectrum. A lower score indicates a more liberal justice, whereas a higher score indicates a more conservative justice.

The front-runners for Biden's Supreme Court pick

Judge Kentaji Brown Jackson (left) and Justice Leondra Kruger (right) Tom Williams-Pool/Getty Images and Lonnie Tague, US Department of Justice

Two highly accomplished Black female judges — Ketanji Brown Jackson, a judge on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals; and Leondra Kruger, a justice on the California Supreme Court — are seen as the early front-runners to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer.

The big picture: Jackson is a powerful federal judge with a record that progressives feel they can trust. Kruger was a highly regarded litigator and has carved out a reputation for working well with conservative judges.