May 14, 2024
Good afternoon β¦ Don't forget to mark your calendars for May 22's Section 230 hearing that Maria let you know about this morning.
1 big thing: Inside the AI export controls debate
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
The federal government is wading into AI export controls, raising questions over how to balance national security and competition, Maria reports.
Why it matters: Lawmakers, citing cybersecurity concerns, don't want the U.S.' most advanced tech in the hands of foreign adversaries.
- But as China races to develop its own AI models, stakeholders are warning against inadvertently cutting off the U.S. from the rest of the world and giving Beijing a competitive advantage.
Driving the news: The AI export control landscape is heating up across the government, with the U.S. already taking steps to restrict China from AI chips and cloud services to train AI models.
- The Biden administration is now considering restricting the export of closed-source AI models, such as ChatGPT, according to Reuters.
- On Capitol Hill, lawmakers Thursday will mark up the ENFORCE Act, which would authorize the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security to use export controls on "any software or hardware implementation of artificial intelligence."
What they're saying: The Mercatus Center's Matt Mittelsteadt said export controls on closed-source models are unlikely to have the impact the White House is hoping for β an advantage over China β because it would be too difficult to track where the software is going.
- Tighter controls on closed-source models would hurt companies like OpenAI and help open-source companies like Meta leap ahead, Mittelsteadt added.
- Alondra Nelson, a former White House official who helped shape the Biden administration's AI policy, pointed to the dual-use nature of the AI tech that could be subjected to export controls.
- "It's going to become increasingly difficult to draw that bright line between national security cases and other use cases," she said.
Behind the scenes: One source β citing conversations with people on the Hill and at Commerce, the White House and in the private sector β said many are "struggling to get their heads around" striking the right balance on the issue, and that there's no industry consensus.
Threat level: The ENFORCE Act's sponsors point to U.S.βChina Economic and Security Review Commission findings that Beijing is using commercial AI advancements to develop its military capabilities and prepare for a potential war over Taiwan.
- Foreign Affairs Chair Michael McCaul, China Select Committee Chair John Moolenaar and Ranking Member Raja Krishnamoorthi, and Rep. Susan Wild introduced the bill last week.
- Following the passage of the TikTok divestiture bill, the China Select Committee and its new leader have "aggressive" plans to continue targeting Beijing, as Majority Leader Steve Scalise put it.
2. What we're watching: Quantum in the NDAA
Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios
The House wants the Pentagon to prioritize near-term quantum applications, according to its version of the annual defense policy bill, Maria reports.
Why it matters: The U.S. government is currently focused on long-term quantum hardware development, which some industry players argue is a missed opportunity for global competitiveness.
Driving the news: The House Armed Services Committee's FY25 National Defense Authorization Act language pushes the Pentagon to focus on adopting near-term quantum technology.
- It directs the Department of Defense to develop a quantum strategy over a period of five years after the law's enactment.
- It also calls on DOD to create a quantum center with the purpose of accelerating the transition of advanced quantum and quantum hybrid computing technology from the R&D phase into operational use.
The language aligns with Rep. Elise Stefanik and Sen. Marsha Blackburn's Defense Quantum Acceleration Act.
- The language has the backing of the quantum industry, which views it as "a critical step towards support for quantum annealing and hybrid applications," D-Wave's Allison Schwartz said.
What's next: HASC marks up the bill May 22.
β Thank you for reading Axios Pro Policy, and thanks to editors Mackenzie Weinger and David Nather and copy editor Brad Bonhall.
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