December 04, 2023
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1 big thing: U.S. needs more scientists from abroad to compete with China, study says
Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios
The United States will need to boost immigration and incentivize engineers and scientists to stay in the U.S. in order to compete with China, per a study first shared with Ashley.
Why it matters: As the U.S. looks to be the global leader on AI and other emerging high-tech fields, it will need to attract and maintain the world's best talent.
- Restrictive immigration policies have already hurt the U.S. tech industry, resulting in a loss of tech workers to countries including Canada.
Driving the news: Per a study from the National Foundation for American Policy, admitting more foreign-born scientists and engineers will be essential to global tech and science competitiveness for the U.S.
- That remains true "whether the U.S. pursues a policy of mutually beneficial economic ties with China or adopts a more confrontational posture," author Stuart Anderson writes.
- As Ashley previously reported per another study from the same organization, immigrants to the United States have played a large part in founding AI companies.
The big picture: There is a limit of 85,000 H-1B applications per year for highly skilled foreign nationals, with employers ā many of them tech firms ā constantly seeking to fill many more positions than the visas allow.
- That was the case before the major generative AI boom, and now it's even more urgent for the industry, as Maria previously reported.
What they're saying: "Congress should consider a cost-benefit analysis that weighs current and additional restrictions against the opportunity costs of admitting fewer highly educated or potentially outstanding researchers from China or elsewhere," the study reads.
- "Many U.S. policymakers ... want the United States to compete with China. Given the priority on knowledge and innovation in the 21st century, facilitating the entry of foreign-born scientists and engineers can play a crucial role in any competition between China and the United States."
By the numbers: Eighty-three percent of computer and information sciences doctorate holders and 80% of electrical and computer engineering doctorate holders working on research and development in the U.S. are foreign-born, per the study.
- The domestic pipeline of scientists and engineers in the U.S. increased 69% from 2003 to 2021, the study says, but it likely isn't enough to keep up with talent need.
- At U.S. universities, international students account for 71% of full-time graduate students in computer and information sciences and 73% in electrical and computer engineering.
- The report also highlights that although China has government programs and incentives to keep tech and engineering talent, young workers often desire to leave China to live in democratic countries, but face significant barriers to working in the U.S.
Reality check: Members of Congress on both sides of the aisle have acknowledged that immigration reform should be part of any comprehensive AI policy package.
- But past experience shows that immigration policy has vexed Congress, with squabbles often sinking legislative efforts. Growing tensions with China over IP theft and other security issues have made it even worse.
- Experts have been aggressively pushing Congress, including the House China Select Committee, to address "immigration bottlenecks" for international science and engineering students, arguing that it does not detract from national security initiatives.
- Former President Trump's anti-immigration rhetoric pushed some Republicans to retreat even further into hardline stances on letting more foreign-born people into the country.
What we're watching: The Biden administration's executive order on AI has some immigration components, calling on federal agencies to identify new pathways to retain skilled foreign employees and streamline visa processes.
- Members of Congress have been discussing immigration as part of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer's AI forums, and he has said reform may ultimately be part of a legislative package.
The bottom line: People involved in AI discussions on a federal level may agree to a certain extent that the U.S. needs more immigrants to compete globally.
- But Congress holds the power to make real change, and scuffles over the details could trip up any major effort to reimagine the U.S. immigration system.
2. What we're watching: Quantum deep dive
Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios
CBS News aired a "60 Minutes" report on quantum computing last night, explaining how the technology works and highlighting its potential.
Driving the news: Scott Pelley visited Google's quantum lab in California and Cleveland Clinic, the location of one of the first quantum computers outside of a lab setting.
- He also got a first look at IBM's newest, most advanced quantum computer.
- Most people can't explain what supercomputing is. Pelley helps break it down using a simple maze example.
Why it matters: AI is sucking most of the air out of the room on tech issues, but it's not the only emerging tech that could lead to breakthroughs.
- The scientist who founded Google's quantum lab, Hartmut Neven, told Pelley that "at this point we don't need any more fundamental breakthroughs" and large-scale quantum computing could be ready in five or six years.
Watch the full report here.
3. Hill hearing watch
Illustration: Tiffany Herring/Axios
Here's what we're tracking on the Hill this week.
1. NTIA oversight: House Energy and Commerce's communications and technology panel meets tomorrow at 10:30am ET for an NTIA oversight hearing with administrator Alan Davidson.
2. AI policy: On Wednesday at 2pm ET, the House Oversight and Accountability subcommittee on cybersecurity, IT and government innovation holds a hearing on White House policy on AI.
3. Defense tech: Also Wednesday at 2pm ET, the House Armed Services cyber, IT and innovation panel meets to discuss tech advancements at the DoD with a hearing it has titled "Back to the Future."
4. Fintech: The House Financial Services panel on digital assets, financial technology and inclusion convenes tomorrow at 10am ET to look at how "agencies and their offices of innovation can shape the future of finance services."
5. Marathon markup: Tomorrow at 2pm ET "and subsequent days as necessary," E&C marks up a whopping 44 pieces of legislation.
- Bills include the 5G SALE Act, the Advancing Tech Startups Act and the Promoting Resilient Supply Chains Act.
ā Thank you for reading Axios Pro Policy, and thanks to editor Mackenzie Weinger and copy editor Brad Bonhall.
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