Axios Seattle

April 16, 2026
It's Thursday. We've got a special edition today devoted to AI and the job market β the good, the bad and the scary.
π€οΈ Today's weather: Mostly sunny, with a high of 55 and a low of 41.
Today's newsletter is 956 words β a 3.5-minute read.
1 big thing: π Job market jitters


Workers, especially those with a college degree, think the job market is awful, a recent Gallup analysis finds.
Why it matters: Although the unemployment rate is relatively low at the moment, hiring has slowed a lot, particularly for professionals.
- Deteriorating worker sentiment can signal that things are about to get much worse.
- "Workers with higher levels of formal education were markedly less optimistic about the job market in 2025 than those with less schooling," writes Sarah Fioroni, a senior research consultant at Gallup.
What they're saying: "Most educated people I know are pretty freaked about what AI means for their jobs," says Martha Gimbel, executive director and cofounder of the Budget Lab at Yale.
- "We can argue about whether or not that's going to happen, but that's not what fear is about."
The big picture: Labor market stress is just one of many looming known unknowns in a chaotic moment for the economy and markets.
- Oil prices are climbing; a private credit tantrum is in play, and AI disruption is everywhere.
By the numbers: In separate polling of U.S. adults from Gallup, conducted from Jan. 2-17, just 27% of college grads said now is a good time to find a quality job, compared with 44% of those who didn't graduate from college.
- That's the widest gap on record going back to 2001.
- Until 2024, those with more advanced degrees were more optimistic.
Between the lines: The critical factor to watch is the hiring rate. Outside of the blip we had during the pandemic, hiring is at its worst level since 2013, per federal data.
- Sentiment among the college-educated about the job market is at its lowest since that year as well.
Where it stands: In white-collar industries β like software development, marketing and communications β hiring is even worse, says Cory Stahle, an economist at Indeed, the jobs site.
- Job listings in manufacturing, meanwhile, are up. So are help wanted ads for doctors. "You see a real bifurcation," Stahle says.
2. π€ The three realities of AI
Three distinct camps are forming around AI: power users, doubters and resisters.
Why it matters: AI isn't just advancing β it's fragmenting how people see the world.
The big picture: The disconnect is showing up everywhere β from job-loss fears to data center protests to actual violence.
- Doubters still see AI as glitchy chatbots and viral fails. They aren't using its full capabilities.
- Power users run AI agents around the clock, trading tips on how to automate work and decision-making.
- Resisters understand AI, think they know where it's headed and want no part of it.
π Your thought bubble: We want to know which camp you fall into.
- Is AI a regular part of your everyday life?
- Do you use it infrequently?
- Or have you sworn it off entirely?
Hit reply on this email or click here and let us know. We may use your response in an upcoming story.
3. Morning Buzz: π Warm up on the way
π» We could see a stretch of drier, warmer weather through Saturday before showers return Sunday. (FOX 13)
ποΈ The City Council approved two measures to fund new shelter beds and make it easier to secure larger sites, with a third to allow more beds per shelter still in committee β all part of Mayor Wilson's push to rapidly expand capacity. (Seattle Times)
βΊοΈ A long-standing homeless encampment at Rotary Viewpoint Park in West Seattle was cleared by city workers yesterday, after officials cited public safety and health concerns. (MyNorthwest)
β½ A record 36,128 fans packed Lumen Field β the largest crowd for a women's sporting event in Seattle β as the U.S. fell 1-0 to Japan after a win in San Jose, with the teams set to meet again Friday in Colorado. (U.S. Soccer)
π A statue honoring Indian spiritual leader Swami Vivekananda was recently unveiled at Westlake Park, a gift from the Indian government marking the city's growing Indian American community. (KOMO)
4. π Major shakeup


Nearly half of college students say they've thought about changing their major because of AI's potential impact, according to newly released polling.
The big picture: College graduates are entering a job market that's been rocked by a massive tech evolution, reshaping career prospects for entry-level workers, per a new survey from Lumina Foundation and Gallup.
By the numbers: Among currently enrolled college students, 14% have thought "a great deal" and 33% have thought "a fair amount" about changing their major or field of study because of how AI may affect the job market, the polling found.
- 16% of students have changed their major because of the impact AI might have, a trend that is higher among men (21%) than women (12%) and in vocational (26%) and tech (25%) majors.
What they're saying: Christina Eid, an American University senior majoring in business administration, runs an annual survey on students' interactions with AI.
- In 2024, 12% of students said potential employers had asked them asked about their ability to use AI in the workplace, according to her survey business undergrad and grad students.
- In 2025, that stat hit 30%. In all of her own recent job interviews, Eid says she's been asked about her AI skills.
5. Pic to go: πΈ Big brother boost
ππΌ Melissa here. I caught a snapshot yesterday of my older son "helping" my little one through the Hall of Mosses trail in the Hoh Rain Forest.
- It was less than a mile, but we ended up carrying both kids for the last 500 feet or so.
π₯Ύ Melissa is testing out her new hiking boots while carrying a 35-pound toddler.
πͺClarridge is dusting off dollhouses and action figures for her young nieces.
This newsletter was edited by Geoff Ziezulewicz.
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