Axios Hill Leaders

September 09, 2026
Newsy Tuesday. Tonight's edition is 813 words, 3 minutes.
- ⭐️ Johnson spotlights Dems
- 💵 Scoop: J Street's AIPAC-backed targets
🚨 BREAKING: Democratic Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman is preparing to make a bombshell appearance tonight at the GOP convention in Dallas, in a video praising President Trump and Republican Sen. Dave McCormick for helping America's steel industry, Axios' Alex Isenstadt and Holly Otterbein scooped.
- Fetterman's stunning turn — a Democratic senator in a supporting role at the GOP's showcase campaign event, fewer than eight weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms — marks a dramatic escalation of his growing estrangement from his party.
1 big thing: ⭐️ Johnson spotlights Dems
Speaker Mike Johnson's super PAC is spending big to give little-known Democratic challengers main-character energy — or at least starring roles in 30-second campaign ads.
Why it matters: Trump wants to make the election about himself. The Congressional Leadership Fund — a super PAC affiliated with Johnson (R-La.) — is keeping the focus squarely on the Democrats running for Congress.
- 👉 The two strategies aren't necessarily at odds.
- But they offer different answers to the central question of the 2026 midterms: Is this election a referendum on Trump or a choice between individual candidates?
✅ Driving the news: Put CLF in the choice category.
- The super PAC has reserved new ads in eight congressional districts as it spends down its $175 million budget. It's now up in 15 districts.
- ✂️ The group is cutting bespoke attacks in a national campaign, with tailored ads for individual candidates and districts, drawing on on-the-ground research.
- The messaging varies, but the goal is the same: Elevate the Democratic candidate and define them before they can define themselves.
The other side: The Democrats' main super PAC, House Majority PAC, is currently spending in 11 races — with considerably more thematic consistency.
- HMP wants to tie Republican candidates to the president and his policies, arguing that two years of MAGA rule have left voters paying more for health care, groceries and gas.
- Democrats aren't trying to make their opponents famous so much as make them part of the Trump brand — and responsible for his policies.
🔎 Zoom in: In a 30-second ad attacking JoAnna Mendoza, who is challenging Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R-Ariz.) in AZ-06, CLF mentions Mendoza's name four times.
- "This is JoAnna Mendoza. Her job — an extreme liberal lobbyist," the narrator opens. "Because liberal lobbyist JoAnna Mendoza is not looking out for you."
- It's the first salvo in the $2.9 million CLF has reserved in AZ-06, according to AdImpact.
Democrats want to link GOP incumbents to the costs voters see in their everyday lives.
- "When I got the notice about my premiums going up, it stopped me in my tracks," a woman says as she jogs through a neighborhood in an HMP ad, part of a $6.4 million reservation to defeat Rep. Gabe Evans (R-Colo.).
- "For some they are doubling — all because Gabe Evans cast the deciding vote for Trump's billionaire tax cut."
🌎 Zoom out: The GOP super PAC is mostly playing defense. Democrats are leaning more heavily into offense.
- Nine of CLF's 15 ads are aimed at protecting Republican incumbents, while five target sitting Democratic lawmakers. One is focused on the open Nebraska seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.).
- By contrast, just two of HMP's first 11 ads are devoted to protecting Democratic incumbents. Seven target sitting Republican lawmakers, with the remaining two focused on open seats.
The bottom line: Republicans are offering concierge attack service — targeted messages for each Democratic candidate.
- The format of Democrats' ads is closer to "a noun, a verb and Donald Trump": Tie Republicans to the president and make them answer for his policies.
— Hans Nichols
2. 💵 J Street's AIPAC-backed targets
The liberal pro-Israel group J Street is launching a $3 million offensive against five AIPAC-backed Republicans in some of the nation's most competitive midterm races, we've learned.
Why it matters: The battle over Israel, which roiled Democratic primaries and fueled tens of millions of dollars in outside spending, is spilling into the general election and pitting two pro-Israel groups against each other.
🚗 Driving the news: The J Street Action Fund is targeting Georgia Senate candidate Mike Collins, Reps. Max Miller of Ohio, Derrick Van Orden of Wisconsin, Ryan Mackenzie of Pennsylvania and Mariannette Miller-Meeks of Iowa.
- 🥊 It's the first time J Street has gone on offense against AIPAC-backed incumbents across a significant number of competitive races.
- 💰 And the investment is the largest super PAC expenditure in J Street's history.
- (Collins has received AIPAC's support in the past, but so far not in his current Senate bid.)
Between the lines: AIPAC and J Street have long represented competing visions of what it means to be pro-Israel, but their rivalry has intensified this cycle as divisions over Israel deepen in both parties.
- Both are pro-Israel, but J Street is more critical of the Israeli government than AIPAC.
— Alex Isenstadt
This newsletter was edited by Kathleen Hunter and copy edited by Brad Bonhall.
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