Axios Closer

August 02, 2024
Friday β .
Today's newsletter is 635 words, a 2Β½-minute read.
π The dashboard: The S&P 500 closed down 1.8%
- Biggest gainer? Clorox (+7.4%), the household and cleaning goods company, raised its full-year earnings forecast.
- Biggest decliner? Intel (-26.1%), the chipmaker, after supplying a disappointing forecast, combined with a layoff and dividend pause.
1 big thing: Double whammy
When investors woke up this morning, the continuing story of a fruitless AI spending splurge looked set to ensure that markets ended the week on a down note.
- Then the jobs report hit.
Why it matters: The market's fading love affair with Big Tech has suddenly collided with a steady stream of worrying macro data β themes sure to dominate attention until the Fed's next rate decision in September.
State of play: Major stock indexes all fell hard today. The Dow fell over 600 points, or 1.8%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite shed 2.4%, ending the day in correction territory from its recent high on July 10.
- Amazon shares fell 8.8%, driven by its growing AI spending (at the expense of current profits) and a disappointing revenue outlook.
- Intel, the chipmaker, jolted markets as well, shedding 26% since yesterday's massive earnings miss and a message that it was laying off 15% of its employees and halting its Q4 dividend.
The big picture: But today's market route was bigger than tech β the Russell 2000, an index of U.S. small-cap stocks, fell 3.5%.
- That's notable, as the Russell had gained over 11% over the last month (see belowπ) in part reflecting capital moving out of giant "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks and into the broader market.
- Today, the Russell's fall reflected investors' newfound recession fears.
Zoom in: For that, you can thank today's U.S. jobs report. Data showed the U.S. economy added 114,000 jobs in July, far fewer than expected, and a slowdown from the prior month's downwardly revised 179,000 job gains.
- The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, up from 4.1% in June, and the highest since 2021.
- That set off alarm bells, Axios' Neil Irwin noted, on the back of separate data earlier in the week showing a slowdown in hiring and manufacturing activity and a spike in jobless claims.
The bottom line: Two days ago, the market cheered the Fed's signaling of a September rate cut. Today, Sept. 18 feels a long way off.
2. Bonus chart: Small caps


3. What's happening
π§³ Chevron is relocating to Houston from its headquarters in San Ramon, California. (Axios)
π DOJ antitrust officials are reportedly looking into allegations that Nvidia is abusing its market dominance in AI chips. (Axios)
π€ Google has decided to pull its "Dear Sydney" ad for its Gemini chatbot after criticism. (Axios)
4. DOJ sues TikTok
The Justice Department sued TikTok and its Chinese-owned parent company today, alleging the social media app violates children's online privacy law.
The big picture: The popular platform engages in "massive-scale invasions of children's privacy" by collecting data from kids, who can create accounts without their parent's consent, the department said in the complaint.
- The department also accused TikTok and its parent company ByteDance of "failing to comply with parents' requests to delete their children's accounts and information."
Flashback: The FTC announced in June that it referred a complaint against TikTok to the DOJ over potential violations of the federal law governing children's privacy.
A TikTok spokesperson said the company disagrees with the allegations, many of which related to past events.
5. π Medal rewards
Olympic athletes compete for glory, their country ... and maybe, at times, a tidy sum of money.
Zoom in: Based on local reports, national Olympic committee data and sports associations, Hong Kong and Singapore pay the highest cash bonuses to winners, according to CNBC.
The intrigue: Hong Kong only has 34 athletes at the games this year and Singapore has 23, which means there are fewer podium opportunities and payouts.
- On the other hand, countries with some of the smallest purses are those with the largest teams, including the U.S., France and Australia.
Follow the money: Endorsement deals can juice returns on a medal, too.
- Of course not every medal winner has the star power of Simone Biles, who according to Quartz earned over $7 million in 2023.
Today's newsletter was edited by Pete Gannon and copy edited by Sheryl Miller.
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