Axios Closer

July 16, 2024
Tuesday โ .
Today's newsletter is 605 words, a 2ยฝ-minute read.
๐ The dashboard: The S&P 500 closed up 0.6%, posting another record.
- Biggest gainer? Molina Healthcare (+8.2%), the managed health care services provider. ยฏ\_(ใ)_/ยฏ
- Biggest decliner? Charles Schwab (-10.2%), the brokerage firm, warned it will have to shrink in order to protect profits.
1 big thing: Musk's embrace of Trump
Elon Musk's embrace of former President Trump is poised to have a determinative effect on the Tesla, SpaceX and X boss' empire.
Why it matters: As the world's richest person, Musk is cozying up to someone who could soon become the world's most powerful person for a second time.
Driving the news: Musk, who officially endorsed Trump Saturday after the former president survived an assassination attempt, is now planning to donate $45 million monthly to a super PAC supporting Trump's campaign to return to the White House, WSJ reported.
Follow the money: Musk's empire was built with government support โ and he has a vested interest in keeping it that way.
- SpaceX has lucrative contracts with NASA.
- Tesla โ which landed a critical federal loan in its infancy to stay afloat โ markets its EVs as qualifying for U.S. tax credits.
- X benefits from a legal shield in the form of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act protecting social media companies from liability for user content.
Yes, but: If government support is a reason for embracing Trump, Musk hasn't said so.
- And what puzzles observers is that Trump's policies โ he's bashed EV incentives and called for a crackdown on trade with China, a critical Tesla market โ could actually bludgeon Musk's assets.
Musk's support, however, may put him in a position to guide policy, especially on China, University of Michigan business professor Erik Gordon tells Axios.
- "Certainly if there is a Trump administration, it will at least listen to Musk's arguments," Gordon says.
Musk and the Trump campaign did not respond to requests for comment.
The bottom line: Trump and Musk are closer than ever.
2. Charted: All in on Zyn


Philip Morris International plans to build a new factory in Colorado to make Zyn nicotine pouches.
Why it matters: The company is enjoying surging sales of the smokeless product.
- PMI โ which is independent of Philip Morris USA owner Altria โ bought Zyn owner Swedish Match for $16 billion in 2022.
Driving the news: The $600 million plant will be constructed in Aurora, Colorado, with plans to hire 500 workers.
How it works: Zyn is designed to be placed between the gum and upper lip for the user to absorb nicotine without swallowing, Axios' April Rubin reported.
- It doesn't contain tobacco leaf, but the FDA considers it to be part of the tobacco industry.
Zoom out: Critics warn that nicotine is addictive and can be a gateway to smoking โ but advocates, including PMI, say it's a safer alternative to cigarettes.
3. What's happening
๐ฆนโโ๏ธ Amazon Prime Day began today โ but consumer watchdogs say to watch out for scams. (AP)
โญ๏ธ Gold prices hit a record high today. (Bloomberg)
๐ New Balance signed a deal to become an official partner of the WNBA. (CNBC)
๐คณ Match Group's stock surged after a report that hedge fund Starboard Value has taken a stake in the dating company. (WSJ)
4. More learnings from bank earnings
Today we got more insight into the health of the nation's leading financial institutions via earnings reports:
๐ต Bank of America: The company's stock rallied after it projected $14.5 billion in net interest income in the fourth quarter, up $600 million from its most recent period and, according to Bloomberg, topping expectations.
๐ฐ Goldman Sachs: The bank's fixed income business came in higher than expected, while its provision for loan losses came in lower than expected, CNBC reported.
๐ฆ Morgan Stanley: The company's investment banking fees soared 51% amid signs that dealmaking is enjoying a resurgence, Yahoo Finance reported.
5. What they're saying
"Probabilities really matter when you're trying to make plans."โ Elections analyst and journalist Nate Silver, to Axios' Sara Fischer, on becoming an adviser to predictions market Polymarket.
Today's newsletter was edited by Pete Gannon and copy edited by Sheryl Miller.
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