🍳 Good Tuesday morning. Montana Gov. Steve Bullock has jumped into the 2020 Democratic field.
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Senior administration officials tell Axios' Jonathan Swan that a trade deal with China isn't close and that the U.S. could be in for a long trade war:
The bottom line: White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow was right when he said on Sunday that "both sides will suffer" in a U.S.-China trade war.
Trump’s mindset on the Chinese is simple: They only respond to shows of brute force.
Swan has asked several current and former administration officials whether Trump actually believes that China pays the tariffs — rather than the reality that U.S. consumers do.
"The drums of war are beating once again," The Economist writes in its cover story:
⚡ Breaking ... "At a meeting of President Trump’s top national security aides last Thursday, Acting Defense Secretary Patrick Shanahan presented an updated military plan that envisions sending as many as 120,000 troops to the Middle East should Iran attack American forces or accelerate work on nuclear weapons," per the N.Y. Times.
Before their ousters last month, "Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen and top immigration enforcement official Ronald Vitiello challenged a secret White House plan to arrest thousands of parents and children in a blitz operation against migrants in 10 major U.S. cities," report the Washington Post's Nick Miroff and Josh Dawsey.
Senior Trump adviser Stephen Miller "declined to comment through a White House spokesman."
Thousands of law enforcement officers, families and supporters held the 31st annual National Police Week candlelight vigil on the Mall last night, honoring officers who died in the line of duty.
Attorney General William Barr has assigned the top federal prosecutor in Connecticut, John Durham, to examine the origins of the Russia investigation, the N.Y. Times reports.
The context: This is the third known investigation focused on the opening of an FBI counterintelligence investigation — during the campaign — into possible ties between Russia and Trump associates, per the Times.
Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios
Apple’s very successful iPhone App Store is under attack from multiple directions in the U.S. and Europe, Axios' David McCabe writes.
Driving the news: The Supreme Court ruled 5-4 yesterday that users can sue Apple for allegedly exercising monopoly power over the market for third-party apps and driving up prices.
The bigger picture: Apple is rolling out its own services, like Apple News+ and its forthcoming streaming offering, that will compete with third-party apps.
Video: Erica Pandey/Axios
Walmart "is rolling out a next-day delivery service to counter Amazon’s recent move to speed shipment times for top customers to just one day from two," writes Bloomberg's Matthew Boyle.
Bricks and mortar ... "Over the past two years, major U.S. retailers … have spent billions of dollars to overhaul existing programs or launch new loyalty schemes" to fend off the allure of Amazon, per Reuters.
Photo: Epics/Getty Images
"Trump Tower, once the crown jewel in Donald Trump’s property empire, now ranks as one of the least desirable luxury properties in Manhattan," writes Bloomberg's Shahien Nasiripour.
A U.S. intelligence agency is offering cash for predicting threats, Axios Future editor Steve LeVine reports:
Seth Goldstein, an IARPA program manager who is running the contest, on his dream outcome: "I am hoping to find the next Swiss patent clerk doing forecasting in his spare time," he says.
"Inside the Pampered and Personalized World of DC’s VIP Diners," by The Washingtonian's Jessica Sidman:
All VIPs of Le Diplomate, the French brasserie in Logan Circle, are dubbed "PPX" — personnes particulièrement extraordinaires — and tracked in real time on a kitchen whiteboard as they dine. But some, such as a neighborhood regular, are classified as "TTA," for Try to Accommodate. Others are "MA," for Must Accommodate, including Jill Biden ...
At Rare Steakhouse in downtown DC, former managing director Justin Abad categorized semiregular VIPs as "soigné," French for "handled with care," and those who came in three to five times a week or held multiple functions at the restaurant throughout the year as "super soigné." The lower tier would often be treated to a complimentary Prosecco, while those handled with extra care — select media figures and lawyers, for instance — might be given a free shellfish platter on occasion.
José Andrés's restaurants deploy a simple color-coded system for its "PGs," or preferred guests. Your hue gets you one of five levels of perks, from a free round of drinks (for Reds), to a full comp and maybe a black-car ride home from Minibar (for "José Golds," or special friends of the owner).
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