Jan 1, 2019

Happy new year! We're excited and worried

Data: SurveyMonkey online poll; Chart Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

More than three quarters of Americans are hopeful about what's ahead for them in 2019, but they're way less optimistic about what's in store for the world, according to an Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.

The big picture: The public is split almost evenly on what 2019 will bring for the world. But Americans don't seem to see a recession around the corner — 65% say they expect the economy to have a good or very good year. That's a sign that they see plenty of other things in the world to worry about.

Other findings:

  • Republicans and independents are far more optimistic about the world than Democrats.
  • The same goes for the U.S. economy: 90% of Republicans and 63% of independents think it will do well in 2019, compared to only 46% of Democrats.
  • But all three groups are optimistic about what 2019 has in store for them personally.
  • Just 43% of Americans say they expect President Trump to have a good or very good year, while 53% expect him to have a bad or very bad year. That's almost identical to Trump's approval and disapproval ratings in the same poll (44% approve, 54% disapprove).
  • 54% believe Democrats in Congress will have a good year, while 46% say the same for Republicans in Congress.

Methodology: The data on adults are based on a SurveyMonkey online poll conducted among adults ages 18 and older in the United States. Respondents were selected from the more than 2 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography. The survey was conducted Dec. 10-17, 2018 among 6,075 adults. The modeled error estimate  for the full sample is plus or minus 2 percentage points and full crosstabs are available here.

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