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Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Sen. Bernie Sanders maintains a slight lead over Pete Buttigieg in the upcoming New Hampshire primary, according to new polls conducted by the University of New Hampshire for CNN and WBZ/Boston Globe/Suffolk University.

Why it matters: The high-stakes primary is just two days away. Sanders and Buttigieg finished in a virtual tie in last week's Iowa caucuses, and both candidates appear set for another strong performance in a state Sanders won by more than 20 points in 2016.

CNN poll, by the numbers:

  • Sanders: 28%
  • Buttigieg: 21%
  • Joe Biden: 12%
  • Sen. Elizabeth Warren: 9%
  • Sen. Amy Klobuchar: 6%
  • Rep. Tulsi Gabbard: 5%
  • Andrew Yang: 4%

Suffolk poll, by the numbers:

  • Sanders: 24%
  • Buttigieg: 22%
  • Warren: 13%
  • Biden: 10%
  • Klobuchar: 9%
  • Yang: 3%
  • Gabbard: 2%

The big picture: Results like these on Tuesday could be a death blow to the campaigns of Warren, Klobuchar, Gabbard and Yang, who have a tough path to victory beyond the early voting states.

  • It would also be a disappointing result for Joe Biden, who acknowledged at the Democratic debate on Friday that he "took a hit in Iowa" and would likely take another one in New Hampshire.
  • The former vice president maintains strong support among people of color, however, meaning his candidacy is likely more viable long-term than many of his competitors.

Worth noting: Only 53% of those surveyed in the CNN poll said they have "definitely decided" who to vote for.

CNN Methodology: This poll was conducted Feb. 5–8 among a random sample of 384 likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of ± 5.0%.

Suffolk Methodology: This poll was conducted Feb. 7–8 among a random sample of 500 likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of ± 4.4%

Go deeper

Tech scrambles to derail inauguration threats

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Tech companies are sharing more information with law enforcement in a frantic effort to prevent violence around the inauguration, after the government was caught flat-footed by the Capitol siege.

Between the lines: Tech knows it will be held accountable for any further violence that turns out to have been planned online if it doesn't act to stop it.

Dave Lawler, author of World
5 hours ago - World

Uganda's election: Museveni declared winner, Wine claims fraud

Wine rejected the official results of the election. Photo: Sumy Sadruni/AFP via Getty

Yoweri Museveni was declared the winner of a sixth presidential term on Saturday, with official results giving him 59% to 35% for Bobi Wine, the singer-turned-opposition leader.

Why it matters: This announcement was predictable, as the election was neither free nor fair and Museveni had no intention of surrendering power after 35 years. But Wine — who posed a strong challenged to Museveni, particularly in urban areas, and was beaten and arrested during the campaign — has said he will present evidence of fraud. The big question is whether he will mobilize mass resistance in the streets.

Off the Rails

Episode 1: A premeditated lie lit the fire

Photo illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Beginning on election night 2020 and continuing through his final days in office, Donald Trump unraveled and dragged America with him, to the point that his followers sacked the U.S. Capitol with two weeks left in his term. Axios takes you inside the collapse of a president with a special series.

Episode 1: Trump’s refusal to believe the election results was premeditated. He had heard about the “red mirage” — the likelihood that early vote counts would tip more Republican than the final tallies — and he decided to exploit it.

"Jared, you call the Murdochs! Jason, you call Sammon and Hemmer!”

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