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Michigan Democrats who voted in person are significantly more likely to think Joe Biden is electable in November than Bernie Sanders, according to AP's VoteCast voter survey.
Why it matters: President Trump won Michigan by less than 11,000 votes in 2016, so every Democratic vote is crucial to the party's hopes of taking it back.
By the numbers: 82% said Biden could probably or definitely beat Trump vs. 64% for Sanders.
- In Mississippi, Biden leads Sanders 89% to 63% in that category.
- In Missouri, it's 82% to 62%.
Between the lines: Michigan's results are expected to be delayed later than Tuesday evening due to an overwhelming number of absentee ballots.
- This means exit polls might not accurately capture the full sentiment of the primary.
The bottom line: Sanders' surprise Michigan win in 2016 was a key factor in his insurgent campaign against Hillary Clinton. But the state has transitioned from a caucus — where Sanders historically overperforms — to a primary.
Editor's note: This story has been updated.