Driving the news: The early Denver area forecast calls for more warm temperatures in the mid-50s and a chance of rain, according to the National Weather Service.
Yes, but: The mountains are expected to receive 1-3 inches of snow on Christmas.
Between the lines: To qualify as a white Christmas, you need at least 1 inch of snow on the ground.
By the numbers: Historically speaking, it happens about 37% of the time, the weather service reports from data reported back to 1900. Other measures using satellite data put it at 20%.
If you want it to snow on Christmas Day, the probability is even less at about 14%.
The intrigue: The snowiest Christmas in the 21st century came in 2007 with about 8 inches of snow.
This year won't qualify for the warmest Christmas. That occurred in 2005 with highs reaching 69.
The bottom line: Lows will still hover near freezing, so light the fire and grab a peppermint mocha anyway.