Jul 18, 2022 - News

Denver's real estate market is shifting, slightly

Illustration of a downward trend line over a house
Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios

With pending home sales down 2.7% year over year, Denver's real estate market is showing early signs of slowing down.

Yes, but: Home prices are still up 14.4% from May 2021.

Why it matters: We keep hearing about a market crash, but so far, local data doesn't support that claim.

Data: Redfin; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

What's happening: From May 2021 to May 2022, new listings in Denver were up 6.2% and pending sales were down 2.7%.

  • More buyers are holding off as home ownership becomes too expensive.
  • This comes after mortgage rates surpassed 5% for the first time in 10 years.
  • More sellers are dropping their asking prices. Denver saw a 48% increase in price reductions year over year in May, according to Redfin.

Zoom out: Nationally, mortgage applications were down 24%, and 6.5% of sellers dropped their asking prices each week in June on average, per Redfin’s latest market update.

  • Also in June, national pending home sales were down 13% from this time last year — the largest decline since May 2020, Redfin's report stated.

Be smart: Inventory is still critically low overall, which continues to push home prices up.

What to watch: New listings and pending sales. If more listings flood the market this summer and buyers don’t bite, that’s when we would start to see more power shift into buyers' hands.

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