Sep 22, 2025 - Climate

Fall forecast: Cleveland likely facing warmer-than-usual season

Seasonal temperature outlook map for Sep-Nov 2025 in the U.S., showing mostly above-normal temperatures in warm shades of orange and red, with some areas marked "Equal Chances" in white. — Image courtesy of NOAA

Don't get those heavy coats out of the closet just yet: Ohio and most of the U.S. is probably in for a warmer-than-usual fall.

Why it matters: After an unusually mild August, September has been hot and dry — and the National Weather Service's seasonal temperature outlook tells us we could see more of the same.

What to expect: According to the NWS, Ohio has a 40-50% probability of above-average temperatures this season.

Summer temperatures are hanging around longer here and nationwide compared to the early 1970s, a new analysis finds.

The big picture: Cleveland had a mild August with temperatures nearing record lows at the end of last month — but we were outliers.

This past August was Earth's third-warmest on record, going back to 1850, per the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which notes that the 10 warmest Augusts have all come since 2015.

What's next: Early forecasts also call for above-normal temperatures during the November-January period for much of the country, though predictions could change over time.

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Fall forecast: Cleveland likely facing warmer-than-usual season

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