White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on CNN's "State of the Union" Sunday that it's possible the unemployment rate could still be in double digits by November's election, but "all the signs of economic recovery are going to be raging everywhere" by that time.

The big picture: Hassett said the unemployment rate next month will be "quite a bit higher" than April's rate of 14.7%, and likely "north of 20%." But he projected that June will be an "inflection point" and the unemployment rate will start to "trend down" after that.

  • Hassett noted that consumer hesitation about returning to public spaces, like stores, restaurants and entertainment events, may slow economic recovery even as shops and venues reopen.
  • “You’re going to be starting at a number in the 20s and working your way down," Hassett said. "So of course, you could still not be back to full employment by September or October.”
  • Peak unemployment during the Great Depression hit 25%, according to the best estimates available.

The bottom line: Last month's jobs report was by far the worst report in U.S. history as the economy shed a record 20.5 million jobs because of the coronavirus pandemic. Hassett cautioned that the worst is likely still to come.

Go deeper: Coronavirus is bringing economic suffering across the U.S.

Go deeper

Felix Salmon, author of Capital
Aug 13, 2020 - Economy & Business

The statistics crisis

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

If you don't know how broken something is, you're not going to be able to fix it.

  • That's the crisis facing policymakers trying to repair a devastated economy without knowing the true degree to which the pandemic has hurt the country.
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"I stood up for that": Pope Francis voices support for same-sex civil unions

Pope Francis at St. Peter's Basilica in Vatican City. Photo: Vatican Pool - Corbis/Corbis via Getty Images

Pope Francis voiced his support for same-sex civil unions for the first time as pope in the documentary “Francesco,” which premiered Wednesday at the Rome Film Festival, per the Catholic News Agency.

Why it matters: The pope’s remarks represent a break from the position of the Roman Catholic Church, which has long taught that homosexual acts are “intrinsically disordered" and contrary to natural law.

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Countries waiting to see if Trump wins before moving on Israel normalization

The delegation lands at Israel's Ben Gurion airport. Photo: Jack Guez/AFP via Getty

The White House is attempting to leverage momentum from Israel's normalization deals with Bahrain and the UAE to get more Arab countries on board before the U.S. election.

Driving the news: President Trump wants Sudan's removal from the U.S. state sponsors of terrorism list to be accompanied by a pre-election announcement on Israel.