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Reproduced from LPL Financial; Chart: Axios Visuals

It's still early days in a possible impeachment process, but "it would be complacent to think that the impeachment process just adds another ring to the circus," cross-asset strategists at JPMorgan warn in a note to clients.

What they're saying: They point out 4 important variables about the expected impeachment drama in Washington:

  1. "US constitutional conflicts like the impeachment process are rare events, with [prior] market outcomes too context-specific" to use as a rubric.
  2. "The unique context now involves four elements — global growth slowdown, classic late-cycle vulnerabilities, high market valuations but somewhat defensive investor positioning."
  3. The "international wildcards are the implications for US-China trade and US-Iran relations."
  4. "The domestic wildcard is the implication for 2020 Presidential and Senate elections."

Be smart: Analysts at BMO Capital Markets point out that the Fed was "in the midst of a 75 bp fine-tuning series of rate cuts" during former President Bill Clinton's impeachment scandal and "should probably get more credit for the positive growth sentiment than the risk of a presidential ousting."

Go deeper: The market just wants a U.S.-China trade deal

Go deeper

Updated 35 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Politics: Americans feel Trump's sickness makes him harder to trustFlorida breaks record for in-person early voting — McConnell urges White House not to strike stimulus deal before election — Republican senators defend Fauci as Trump escalates attacks.
  2. Health: The next wave is gaining steam.
  3. Education: Schools haven't become hotspots — University of Michigan students ordered to shelter-in-place.
  4. World: Ireland moving back into lockdown — Argentina becomes 5th country to report 1 million infections.

Trump threatens to post "60 Minutes" interview early after reportedly walking out

Trump speaks to reporters aboard Air Force One, Oct. 19. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Trump tweeted on Tuesday that he was considering posting his interview with CBS' "60 Minutes" prior to airtime in order to show "what a FAKE and BIASED interview" it was, following reports that he abruptly ended the interview after 45 minutes of taping.

Why it matters: Trump has escalated his war on the media in the final stretch of his re-election campaign, calling a Reuters reporter a "criminal" this week for not reporting on corruption allegations about Hunter Biden and disparaging CNN as "dumb b*stards" for the network's ongoing coronavirus coverage.

2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

McConnell urges White House not to strike stimulus deal before election

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Photo: Stefani Reynolds/Getty Images

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has urged White House negotiators not to cut a deal with Democrats on new coronavirus stimulus before the election.

Driving the news: McConnell informed Senate Republicans of the move at a closed-door lunch on Tuesday, two people familiar with his remarks tell Axios. McConnell's remarks were first reported by the Washington Post.