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Macron greets Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Paris in June. Photo: Antoine Gyori/Corbis via Getty Images

Israeli government officials believe French President Emmanuel Macron will propose his own Middle East peace initiative if President Trump doesn't release his plan in the first few weeks after the November midterm election.

Why it matters: Israeli Foreign Ministry Political Director Alon Ushpiz made that prediction during a closed-door, classified hearing of the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, 2 Knesset members who attended the hearing told me. Trump said a few weeks ago he would release the plan in 2–4 months — meaning between the end of the midterms and the end of 2018.

The backstory: In the last year, the White House had several tentative dates for releasing the plan, but until now Trump's peace team — led by Jared Kushner — had decided the timing was still not right.

  • Israeli officials and French diplomats told me that in late August, Macron instructed the Foreign Ministry in Paris to start thinking about ideas for a new diplomatic initiative on the Israeli-Palestinian issue. Macron told his aides he doesn't want to let the issue disappear from the international agenda.

Ushpiz also warned that there could be big changes ahead for Israel in the U.S. midterm elections if the Democrats win the House.

  • According to the Knesset members who attended the hearing, Ushpiz hinted that a Democratic victory is possible, which would change the political realities in Washington for Israel: "Things are not going to be like they used to. There will be consequences for Israel. The reality we knew since Trump assumed office is not going to continue after the midterms, and we need to prepare for that."
  • Ushpiz also said Israel is losing support in more and more Jewish communities in the U.S. and among progressives and the LGBTQ community. He added: "We have the evangelicals, but with all the rest we are not in good shape."

Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Emmanuel Nahshon told me: "Some of the details in this story are not accurate, but we can't elaborate on classified briefings."

Go deeper

Updated 2 hours ago - World

U.S. sanctions Russian officials over Navalny poisoning and detention

Pro-Navalny protesters in front of the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin. Photo: Omer Messinger/Getty Images

The U.S. will sanction 7 senior Russian officials over the poisoning and jailing of opposition leader Alexey Navalny, the Biden administration confirmed on Tuesday.

Why it matters: The sanctions represent the first penalties the U.S. has imposed on Kremlin-linked officials since President Biden took office and pledged to confront Russian aggression.

Democrats to take up immigration reform next week

Biden in the Oval Office in January. Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The House will vote on two immigration bills next week, including one to protect undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said Tuesday on a call with the Democratic caucus.

Why it matters: This is likely the only realistic shot the Biden administration has at this point to pass immigration reform.

Scoop: Biden briefing calls for 20,000 child migrant beds

Photo: Anna MoneymakerPool/Getty Images

A briefing scheduled for President Biden this afternoon outlines the need for 20,000 beds to shelter an expected crush of child migrants crossing the U.S.-Mexico border, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: The rapid influx of unaccompanied children is becoming the administration's first new crisis. A presentation created by the Domestic Policy Council spells out the dimensions with nearly 40 slides full of charts and details.