Rich Pedroncelli / AP

Hundreds of marches are taking place across the country today, pressuring President Trump to release his tax returns. So far, he's stubbornly refused — first claiming that he couldn't release his tax returns because they were under audit with the IRS, then claiming nobody cared about his tax returns and finally sending Kellyanne Conway to say, "It's not going to happen."

Why they matter: The marches only work if they put enough pressure on Congressman to join the efforts in forcing Trump to release his tax returns. So far, there are three ways Dems could manage to get Trump's tax information — through the emoluments clause, subpoena or a petition.

1. Emoluments Clause

Both the watchdog group Citizens Responsible for Ethics in Washington (CREW) and House Democrats are trying to get Trump's tax returns to see if Trump violates the emoluments clause by owning so many international hotels and resorts. The emoluments clause of the Constitution makes it illegal for federal officials to receive gifts from foreign officials.

Likelihood: CREW filed their lawsuit two days after the inauguration, but have an unusual claim, which might prevent them from making it to court. The last attempt by House Dems to push a resolution was blocked by Republicans at the end of March.

2. Subpoena

A Democrat's dream would be to get Trump on both Russia and his tax returns. As the House Intelligence Committee investigates Trump's ties with Russia, they could subpoena Trump's tax returns to look for signs of collusion.

Likelihood: So far, there are no signs of the intelligence committees requesting Trump's tax reforms, some Dems suspect this possibility is why Republicans refuse to have an independent investigator for the case.

3. Petition

House Dems are now pushing a "discharge petition" on a bill, which would require all U.S. presidents — including Trump — to disclose their tax returns or the Office of Government Ethics and the FEC can request the returns from the Treasury and make them publicly available.

Likelihood: So far, Mark Sanford and Justin Amash are the only two Republicans to cosponsor the bill, although Walter Jones supported the House resolution requesting Trump's tax returns as part of an emoluments investigation.

Go deeper

7 mins ago - Health

The pandemic hasn't hampered the health care industry

Illustration: Rebecca Zisser/Axios

The economy has been tanking. Coronavirus infections and deaths have been rising. And the health care industry is as rich as ever.

The big picture: Second-quarter results are still pouring in, but so far, a vast majority of health care companies are reporting profits that many people assumed would not have been possible as the pandemic raged on.

Column / Harder Line

How climate and business woes are sinking a natural-gas project

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

The Trump administration recently touted its approval of America’s first terminal on the West Coast to export liquefied natural gas. There’s just one problem: it probably won’t be built.

Why it matters: The project in southern Oregon faces political and business hurdles serious enough that those who are following it say it will be shelved. Its problems embody the struggles facing a once-promising sector that's now struggling under the weight of the pandemic and more.

Updated 41 mins ago - Science

Isaias strengthens as it crawls toward the Carolinas

A wave crashes ashore as Tropical Storm Isaias passes through Jetty Park in Fort Pierce, Florida, on Sunday. Photo: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Tropical Storm Isaias is expected to reach the Carolinas late Monday at "near hurricane strength," the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said.

The latest: Isaias was 65 miles northeast of Cape Canaveral with winds increasing to 70 mph, the NHC said in a 2 a.m. update. Storm surge warnings and hurricane watches were in effect for North and South Carolina and Rhode Island. Tropical storm watches were in effect for Florida, Long Island and Delaware.