Illustration: Rebecca Zisser / Axios

Today is President Trump's first anniversary in office, but his planned celebration is clouded by the first government shutdown since 2013 — and the first modern shutdown with one party controlling the White House and Congress:

  • Speaking on the Senate floor at 12:17 a.m., Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell called the shutdown "100% avoidable," blaming Democrats for "shoehorning" immigration in the negotiations.
  • McConnell's key quote: "Almost everybody on both sides doesn't understand how we ended up here. Because most of this stuff, we agree on."
  • Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, following him at 12:23 a.m.: "What happened to the President Trump who asked us to come up with a deal, and promised that he'd take heat for it? ... He backed off at the first sign of pressure."
  • Many experienced Republican operatives believe the party will be clobbered in public opinion, since the GOP controls the whole government.
  • A source close to Republican leadership gives me the argument that Democrats will pay the greater political price: "Furloughing, not paying troops, pulling children’s health insurance all over illegal immigration is untenable to say the least. In the states that matter in 2018 it’s a kiss of death."

Our prediction: Regardless of whether Rs or Ds ultimately get blamed more, a shutdown is bad for incumbents, both parties. So top sources in both parties expect the shutdown will be short — solved over the weekend or early next week.

P.S. "Massive confusion spreads through federal bureaucracy ahead of shutdown deadline," per WashPost: The White House is determined to keep the government as functional as possible, but the vast workforce typically scales back when its congressional appropriations expire.

  • White House budget director Mick Mulvaney, at a pre-shutdown briefing: "Parks will be open this time, and they weren’t before ... but things like the trash won’t get picked up.  Fannie and Freddie will be open. The Post Office will be open. The TSA will be open." (Full text)
  • Financial Times lead story: "US stocks shrug off looming federal shutdown." (Subscription)

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15 states broke single-day coronavirus records this week

Data: Compiled from state health departments by Axios; Map: Danielle Alberti/Axios

At least 15 states broke their single-day novel coronavirus infection records this week, according to state health department data reviewed by Axios.

The big picture: The number of coronavirus cases increased in the vast majority of states over the last week, and decreased in only two states plus the District of Columbia, Axios' Andrew Withershoop and Caitlin Owens report.

Updated 10 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 3 p.m. ET: 11,143,945 — Total deaths: 527,681 — Total recoveries — 6,004,593Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 3 p.m. ET: 2,818,588 — Total deaths: 129,584 — Total recoveries: 883,561 — Total tested: 34,213,497Map.
  3. States: Photos of America's pandemic July 4 ICU beds in Arizona's hot spot reach near capacity.
  4. Public health: U.S. coronavirus infections hit record highs for 3 straight days.
  5. Politics: Trump extends PPP application deadlineKimberly Guilfoyle tests positive.
  6. World: Mexican leaders call for tighter border control as infections rise in U.S.
  7. Sports: 31 MLB players test positive as workouts resume.
  8. 1 📽 thing: Drive-in movie theaters are making a comeback.
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In photos: America celebrates July 4 during global pandemic

Photo: Francine Orr/Los Angeles Times/Getty Images

The U.S. has already celebrated Easter, graduations and so much more during the coronavirus pandemic, and now it can add July 4 to the list.

The state of play: Axios' Stef Kight writes public parades and fireworks displays around much of the country are being canceled to prevent mass gatherings where the virus could spread. Hot-dog contests and concerts will play to empty stands and virtual audiences — all while American pride treads an all-time low.