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A screenshot from a new League of Conservation Voters ad supporting Rep. Stephanie Murphy.

The League of Conservation Voters and Climate Power are aiming another $4 million worth of ads at centrist House Democrats, urging them to support the climate provisions in President Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget reconciliation package, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: Progressive groups are trying to counter the onslaught of conservative money pouring into swing districts. Both sides are trying to define Biden’s Build Back Better Agenda and pressure lawmakers to support — or oppose — the legislation scheduled for a vote in the House this week.

  • “Here in Florida, we are on the front lines of climate change,” the narrator says in an ad meant to bolster Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.). “And we have the chance to take the challenge head-on with the Build Back Better Act.”
  • The new ad buy comes on top of the $20 million the LCV and Climate Power already spent over the summer.
  • It will run in more than two dozen districts.

The big picture: For an off-election year, an unprecedented amount of money is pouring into competitive House seats — months before voters will head to the polls.

  • On Friday, Build Back Together, an outside group working with Biden officials to pass his agenda, announced some $5 million in TV and digital ads to support 13 House Democrats, according to Punchbowl News.

The other side: Last week, the American Action Network, a conservative group that can raise unlimited contributions from anonymous donors, announced a $7.5 million advertising campaign in 24 districts, for a total of $15 million this year.

  • The America First Policy Institute is leading an effort by former Trump administration officials to torpedo Biden’s economic agenda, with plans to raise $10 million, according to the Washington Post.
  • Last week, the Common Sense Leadership Fund, a new Republican-aligned nonprofit group, launched what it says will be a $10 million ad campaign over 10 days, hitting 14 House Democrats over obscure tax provisions, Axios previously reported.
  • The Coalition to Protect American Workers, led by Marc Short, former Vice President Mike Pence's chief of staff, continues to target centrist Democrats for supporting increased funding for the Internal Revenue Service, with a seven-figure ad buy.

Between the lines: The LCV ad buy is designed to give Democrats some air cover to support the president's agenda this fall.

  • It's also a hint of the kind of support Democrats can expect in 2022 from outside progressive groups to defend the Democratic majority in the House.

Go deeper

Oct 26, 2021 - Politics & Policy

Scoop: Biden plan expected to include at least $500B for climate

Photo: Stephanie Keith/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The White House is privately telling lawmakers the climate portion of President Biden's roughly $2 trillion social spending plan is "mostly settled" and will likely cost more than $500 billion, two sources familiar with the talks tell Axios.

Why it matters: A price tag of $500 billion to $555 billion is a huge number and, if it holds, would likely be the single biggest component of the sweeping package. It also isn't far off from the roughly $600 billion proposed when the bill was expected to cost $3.5 trillion.

The progressive promise

Rep. Mark Pocan, who says, "I trust the president." Photo: Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call

House progressives say they're willing to stop holding the bipartisan infrastructure bill hostage based on a presidential promise.

Why it matters: A key sticking point for progressives supporting the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill was their requirement the Senate first pass the nearly $2 trillion social safety net expansion they favor. Now, they say senators only have to promise they'll do so before they support the BIF.

Senate Democrats unveil new income tax for billionaires

Sen. Ron Wyden. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Senate Democrats on Wednesday released a billionaires' tax proposal, designed to help support President Biden's social spending and climate change legislation.

Why it matters: Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, said the Billionaires Income Tax would raise "hundreds of billions of dollars" and would affect approximately 700 taxpayers who have more than $1 billion in assets or incomes of over $100 million a year.

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