Stock market

The big picture

Tesla mania vs. economic reality

Evidence that the stock market and the real economy are not the same thing.

Dec 22, 2020 - Economy & Business
Big businesses' corporate paradise may be coming to an end

If Trump's presidency is about to end, an unprecedented golden era for big businesses could end with it.

Nov 6, 2020 - Economy & Business
The fall of an empire

All major oil companies are facing trouble. But Exxon has fallen the farthest, making the biggest bets on oil and gas — and the smallest bets on renewable energy.

Nov 1, 2020 - Economy & Business
Investors say ignore the coronavirus pandemic and buy stocks

Bullish fund managers are starting to lay down bets that it will be this way for a while.

Jul 9, 2020 - Economy & Business
Markets swell as the economy shrinks

The disconnect shows how the coronavirus has thrown all bets off.

Jul 3, 2020 - Economy & Business
A look at Robinhood traders' favorite stocks

The list is heavily filled by speculative bets like cruise operators and airlines.

Jun 18, 2020 - Economy & Business

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Felix Salmon, author of Capital
51 mins ago - Economy & Business

How high-risk traders are using Reddit and TikTok to scalp huge profits

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

One of the most high-risk, high-return trading strategies of the moment is also the most democratic: Buying the stocks being pumped up on Reddit and TikTok, and then selling them for a huge short-term profit.

The intrigue: While most active trading strategies require expensive professional-grade software, this is a strategy that’s accessible to anybody who's Extremely Online.

Felix Salmon, author of Capital
53 mins ago - Politics & Policy

How the election changed investors

Photo illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios. Photos: David Hume Kennerly, Alex Wong/Getty Images

50% of Americans changed their investing strategy after seeing the result of the presidential election, according to a Harris Poll survey for Empower Retirement and Personal Capital shared exclusively with Axios.

Why it matters: The election and the intense news cycles following it were perceived, correctly, as an inflection point of historical proportions. Doing nothing is hard in such situations, even if sticking to your long-term plan is what most financial advisers would recommend.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
7 hours ago - Economy & Business

Short seller calls out hydrogen fuel company Plug Power

Data: Investing.com; Chart: Axios Visuals

Plug Power's share price fell 6% on Thursday and slipped another 1% in after-hours trading following a Hindenburg Research-esque short seller report on the company from Kerrisdale Capital.

What they're saying: "We are short shares of Plug Power, a $40 billion provider of hydrogen fuel-cell solutions that’s set to generate a paltry $300 million in revenue in 2020 and trades at 40x its own aggressive revenue projection for 2024."

Trump stock market underperformed Obama's

Data: Yahoo Finance; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

U.S. stock markets hit record highs during President Trump's time in office, but mostly underperformed his predecessor.

By the numbers: The stock market selloff that followed the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic wiped out three and a half years' worth of market gains for Trump. As of March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 had lost 1.5% since Trump's first day in office.

Mike Allen, author of AM
Jan 16, 2021 - Economy & Business

America on borrowed time

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Economic recovery will not be linear as the world continues to grapple with the uncertainty of the pandemic.

Why it matters: Despite being propped up by an extraordinary amount of fiscal stimulus and support from central banks, the state of the global economy remains fragile.

Politically-based investing eyes an opening

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Those betting that people want to align stock investments with their political views saw a huge opening this week.

Why it matters: Much of corporate America is at least temporarily turning off the political donation spigot. But who they supported was pushed into the mainstream like never before in the wake of the Capitol mob attack.

Fed chair: No interest rate hike coming any time soon

Fed chair Jerome Powell ahead of a congressional hearing in December. (Photo via Getty Images)

Interest rates will stay near zero for the foreseeable future, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said on Thursday.

Why it matters: It staves off concerns that the central bank is eyeing pulling back on its easy money policy if the economy recovers faster than anticipated.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
Jan 14, 2021 - Economy & Business

Inflation rose more than expected in December

Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chart: Axios Visuals

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in December, the biggest increase since August, largely because of rising gasoline prices, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.

Details: The increase "was driven by an 8.4% increase in the gasoline index, which accounted for more than 60% of the overall increase," BLS said.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
Jan 12, 2021 - Economy & Business

Twitter's stock slump is about more than banning Trump

Data: FactSet; Chart: Axios Visuals

Twitter shares fell by as much as 12% on Monday after the company announced it had permanently banned President Trump's account.

Between the lines: While many were quick to say the decline was blowback for the company's decision, the performance of other social media companies' stock prices suggests there's more to the story.

Dion Rabouin, author of Markets
Jan 12, 2021 - Economy & Business

The big hedge

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Warnings that the U.S. equity market looks to be in a bubble are coming from a slew of Wall Street asset managers and strategists as stocks continue to reach new record highs and markets display abnormal behavior. But data show that while investors are hedging their bets, there is hardly a mad dash to sell out of equity positions.

What's happening: As the 10-year Treasury yield rises solidly above 1% — its highest level in nearly a year — a growing contingent of investors fear that a crash is imminent without the ballast of rock-bottom interest rates.

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