Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. Photo: Joe Raedle / Getty Images

Democrat Patty Schachtner scored a 9-point victory in a special election in Wisconsin's State Senate District 10 last night, flipping a district that had been held by the GOP since 2000 and that President Trump won by 17 points in 2016, per The Huffington Post.

Why it matters: It's a massive swing to Democrats in a Republican-heavy area ahead of November's midterms — and elected GOP officials are spooked:

And that's not all, per Daniel Nichanian at the University of Chicago, there were three other worrying results for Republicans in state special elections last night — though they still managed to hang onto the following seats in these GOP-heavy areas:

  • South Carolina's House District 99 had a 15% net swing to Democrats.
  • Iowa's House District 6 had an 18% net swing to Democrats.
  • Wisconsin's Assembly District 58 had a 25% net swing to Democrats.

One more thing: Republicans maintain their stronghold in Wisconsin. The state is one of 26 Republican trifectas (the governor is Republican, and Republicans have the majority in both the state Assembly and the state Senate). And even with Schachtner’s win, Republicans will hold a 18-14 majority, per the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

Go deeper: If these results show on a national scale in November, they could usher in Trump's greatest nightmare.

Get more stories like this by signing up for our daily morning newsletter, Axios AM. 

Go deeper

Updated 37 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Politics: The swing states where the pandemic is raging — Pence no longer expected to attend Barrett confirmation vote after COVID exposure.
  2. Health: 13 states set single-day case records last week — U.S. reports over 80,000 new cases for second consecutive day.
  3. Business: Where stimulus is needed most.
  4. Education: The dangerous instability of school re-openings.
  5. World: Restrictions grow across Europe.
  6. Media: Fox News president and several hosts advised to quarantine.
Ben Geman, author of Generate
2 hours ago - Energy & Environment

Japan's big new climate goal

Climate protest in Tokyo in November 2019. Photo: Carl Court/Getty Images

Japan's new prime minister said on Monday the nation will seek to become carbon neutral by 2050, a move that will require huge changes in its fossil fuel-heavy energy mix in order to succeed.

Why it matters: Japan is the world's fifth-largest source of carbon emissions. The new goal announced by Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga is stronger than the country's previous target of becoming carbon neutral as early as possible in the latter half of the century.

3 hours ago - Podcasts

The art and business of political polling

The election is just eight days away, and it’s not just the candidates whose futures are on the line. Political pollsters, four years after wrongly predicting a Hillary Clinton presidency, are viewing it as their own judgment day.

Axios Re:Cap digs into the polls, and what pollsters have changed since 2016, with former FiveThirtyEight writer and current CNN politics analyst Harry Enten.