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Warren surges past Biden in poll of college students

Expand chart
Data: College Reaction; Note: ±4.0 margin of error; Chart: Axios Visuals

Elizabeth Warren has overtaken Joe Biden as the top 2020 choice among college students, according to a new College Reaction/Axios poll.

The big picture: Warren's move to the top among college students matches her recent trend in national polls, as well as state polls in New Hampshire, California and Iowa.

By the numbers:

  • In July, Biden led at 16.4%, followed by Trump (16.3%), Sanders (15.1%) and Warren (13.7%).
  • Only 61% of Republican students support Trump, compared to 88% of Republicans in the broader population in a recent Economist/YouGov poll. 11% support Biden.
  • Since July, Andrew Yang has seen the biggest surge in polling. His 10.4% among students is well above his national average of 3.3%.

The poll was conducted from Sept. 23-24 from a representative sample of 586 college students with a margin of error of +/- 4%.

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The big picture: Rescuing the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) is near the top of Biden's foreign policy priority list. He says he'd re-enter the deal once Iran returns to compliance, and use it as the basis on which to negotiate a broader and longer-lasting deal with Iran.

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  • Why it matters: The party's rising left sees Harris as the best hope for penetrating Joe Biden's older, largely white inner circle.

If Biden wins, Harris will become the first woman, first Black American and first Indian American to serve as a U.S. vice president — and would instantly be seen as the first in line for the presidency should Biden decide against seeking a second term.

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