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MRI of pediatric patient with AFM shown at a 2014 grand rounds presentation at Children's National Health System. Photo: Children’s National Health System.

Public health officials are escalating their hunt for the cause of a mysterious ailment afflicting young children, known as acute flaccid myelitis (AFM). Cases of AFM have spiked recently, leaving some young children with partial paralysis and muscle weakness.

Why it matters: While the illness remains very rare, there are currently 127 suspected and 62 confirmed cases in 22 states, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. And — despite years of testing prior cases — the cause of the illness is "still a mystery," Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, tells Axios.

Background: The illness first began to concern the CDC in 2014, when there was an outbreak affecting 120 people. That was also the year there was an outbreak of the enterovirus D68 (EV-D68), and at first scientists thought there was a link. However, not all of the patients showed EV-D68 in their system, so that hypothesis was set aside.

"The frustrating thing about all of this," Fauci says. "We don't really have any direct correlation links with a specific agent."

What we know:

  • 90% of the cases are in young children — with the average age being 4 years old — so the lack of immunity could play a role, Fauci says.
  • The children often have a sudden onset of weakness in their limbs, and tests including a spinal fluid tap and a MRI show damage to their spinal cord.
  • Scientists know ATM can be caused by viruses, such as enterovirus and West Nile virus, environmental toxins, and a condition where the body’s immune system attacks and destroys body tissue that it mistakes for foreign material. Some cases have been linked to these — but there hasn't been a consistent source of the illness during outbreaks.
  • Poliovirus has been ruled out as the cause in these particular cases.
  • There's been 1 known death caused by AFM (in 2017).

What we don't know: Nancy Messonnier, director of CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, held a press conference Oct. 16 to discuss the situation. Here's what we don't know, she said:

  • Despite extensive laboratory testing in these cases, they still aren't even sure if it's caused by a virus or a pathogen.
  • They don't know what risk factors may cause one child over another to experience AFM.
  • They don't know why the outbreaks seem to be more active every other year (120 cases in 2014, 22 in 2015, 149 in 2016 and 33 in 2017).
  • They don't know what the long-term consequences might be. So far, while some children who were affected in 2014 are now recovered, most of them still have some weakness or paralysis.

Researchers from multiple institutions have been examining AFM patients who were given Fluoxetine, popularly known as Prozac, to see if it helped them recover, as it's been shown to help kill enteroviruses.

  • An abstract of the AFM study findings, presented as a poster at a recent conference, shows there's no "statistically significant difference in recovery of motor function," according to Roberta L. DeBiasi, chief of the Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases at Children's National Health System and a study co-author.

Meanwhile, preventative recommendations include:

  • Staying up to date with all vaccinations, including polio.
  • Using mosquito spray, as they can carry West Nile virus.
  • Washing hands and practicing normal illness routines like staying home when sick.
  • If someone experiences sudden weakness or loss of muscle tone, seek immediate medical attention.

Go deeper

The new cold war panic

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

The world has seen a power struggle between nuclear powers before, and has seen those countries inch closer to military conflict. But it's never before seen a cold war between two countries as interconnected — with each other and with the rest of the globe — as the U.S. and China.

Why it matters: Escalating antagonism between the world's two superpowers is likely to hinder global cooperation to fight climate change, divert resources to costly arms and tech races, complicate diplomacy for U.S. allies, and victimize Chinese and American citizens living in each other's countries.

Parkland shooting victims' families settle suit with school district

A makeshift memorial outside Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida, on Feb. 14, 2020. Photo: Matias J. Ocner/Miami Herald/Tribune News Service via Getty Images

Families and survivors of a 2018 mass shooting at a high school in Parkland, Fla., reached a $25 million settlement in their lawsuit against the Broward County school district Monday, per the South Florida SunSentinel.

Why it matters: The deal was reached in the suit over the massacre at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High after the school district won a Florida Supreme Court ruling that could have capped damages at $300,000 in total without approval from the state legislature, AP notes.

Texas Republicans pass new congressional maps in their favor

Photo: Matthew Busch/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Texas House voted 84-59 late Monday to approve new congressional district maps that reduce the number of districts with Black and Hispanic majorities, per the Texas Tribune.

Why it matters: The legislation comes after recent census figures found Texas' growing diverse population doesn't bode well for Republicans, who then worked to protect incumbents with the redrawn maps.