Former Vice President Joe Biden. Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the only 2020 Democratic candidate beating President Trump in polls of Florida and Virginia published by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy on Tuesday.

Why it matters: The 42 electoral votes between the two swing states could prove pivotal in the 2020 election. Trump carried Florida by about a point in 2016, while his opponent Hillary Clinton won by about 5 points in Virginia.

  • Worth noting: Biden's lead in Florida is within the +/- 4% margin of error.

In Florida:

  • Biden 47%; Trump 45%
  • Warren 42%; Trump 51%
  • Sanders 44%; Trump 49%
  • Buttigieg 45%; Trump 49%

In Virginia:

  • Biden 49%; Trump 45%
  • Warren 44; Trump 48%
  • Sanders 45%; Trump 51%
  • Buttigieg 45%; Trump 47%

Methodology: The Virginia poll was conducted on Dec. 12-16, the Florida poll was conducted Dec. 11-16. Both used a sample of 625 voters and have a margin of error of +/-4%.

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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

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In photos: Deadly wildfires devastate California's wine country

The Shady Fire ravages a home as it approaches Santa Rosa in Napa County, California, on Sept. 28. The blaze is part of the massive Glass Fire Complex, which has razed 46,600 acres at 2% containment. Photo: Samuel Corum/Agence France-Presse/AFP via Getty Images

Some 18,700 firefighters are battling 27 major blazes across California, including in the heart of the wine country, where one mega-blaze claimed the lives of three people and forced thousands of others to evacuate this week.

The big picture: 8,155 wildfires have burned across a record 3.86 million acres, killing 26 people and razing almost 7,900 structures in California this year, per Cal Fire. Just like the deadly blazes of 2017, the wine country has become a wildfires epicenter. Gov. Gavin Newsom has declared a state of emergency in Napa, Sonoma, and Shasta counties.

Mike Allen, author of AM
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The first Trump v. Biden presidential debate was a hot mess

Photos: Jim Watson and Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

This debate was like the country: Everybody’s talking. Nobody’s listening. Nothing is learned. It’s a mess.

  • We were told President Trump would be savage. Turned out, that was a gross understatement. Even the moderator, Fox News' Chris Wallace, got bulldozed.

Why it matters: Honestly, who the hell knows?