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Expand chart
Data: Survey Monkey online poll conducted Sept. 12-13, 2018 among 2,173 U.S. adults. Total margin of error is ±3.0 percentage points. Modeled error estimates: African-American women ±8.5, age 18 to 34 ±6.0, White suburban women ±7.0, Never Hillary Independent voters ±12.0, Rural voters ±6.0; Poll methodology; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

A majority of Americans believe Bob Woodward's book and the anonymous NYT op-ed — both of which warned of internal resistance to President Trump — but there's no evidence that they've changed Americans' opinions of him, according to a new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll.

Why it matters: Everything is partisan. If two major news bombshells warning of White House chaos don't change things, it's further evidence that Americans' opinions of Trump are set in stone, whether they like him or not.

Between the lines: Although 51% think the Trump administration is not competent at managing the federal government, and only 46% believe it is competent, that's actually slightly better than similar SurveyMonkey polling in October and November 2017 — when 41% said the administration said the Trump administration is competent and 57% said it's not.

  • The voter subgroups Axios is tracking are split on this. White suburban women and #NeverHillary independents are narrowly divided on the administration's competence, rural voters are solidly behind the administration, and millennials and African American women are convinced it's incompetent.

Americans' views are significantly swayed by their opinions of Trump: 81% of those who already disapprove of Trump believe the reports of "significant resistance" within the White House, but 73% of those who approve of him disbelieve those claims.

  • Their views on impeachment are virtually identical to those in an Axios/SurveyMonkey poll last month: 45% say Congress should begin the impeachment process, 52% say it shouldn't.
  • There was a marginal decline in Trump's overall approval compared to SurveyMonkey's weekly tracking poll. (It's down to 42%, compared to the 44-46% range between April and August.)

The bottom line: There's very little that can change people's opinions of Trump at this point, and it's going to take more than a book and an op-ed to change that.

Methodology: This analysis is based on SurveyMonkey online surveys conducted Sept. 12-13, 2018 among 2,173 adults in the United States. The modeled error estimate  for the full sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. Sample sizes and modeled error estimates for the subgroups are as follows:

African-American Women (n=172 +/- 8.5), Millennials Age 18 - 34  (n=409, +/- 6), White Suburban Women  (n=366 , +/- 7), NeverHillary/Independent voters  (n= 121, +/- 12), Rural  (n= 525, +/- 6). Respondents for this survey were selected from the more than 2 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. More information about our methodology here. Crosstabs available here.

Go deeper

21 mins ago - Health

U.S. tops 88,000 COVID-19 cases, setting new single-day record

Expand chart
Data: COVID Tracking Project; Chart: Axios Visuals

The United States reported 88,452 new coronavirus cases on Thursday, setting a single-day record, according to data from the COVID Tracking Project.

The big picture: The country confirmed 1,049 additional deaths due to the virus, and there are over 46,000 people currently being hospitalized, suggesting the U.S. is experiencing a third wave heading into the winter months.

Updated 1 hour ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Health: Large coronavirus outbreaks leading to high death rates — Coronavirus cases are at an all-time high ahead of Election Day.
  2. Politics: Top HHS spokesperson pitched coronavirus ad campaign as "helping the president" — Space Force's No. 2 general tests positive for coronavirus.
  3. World: Taiwan reaches a record 200 days with no local coronavirus cases.
  4. Sports: MLB to investigate Dodgers player who joined celebration after positive COVID test.
  5. 🎧Podcast: The vaccine race turns toward nationalism.

The norms around science and politics are cracking

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Crafting successful public health measures depends on the ability of top scientists to gather data and report their findings unrestricted to policymakers.

State of play: But concern has spiked among health experts and physicians over what they see as an assault on key science protections, particularly during a raging pandemic. And a move last week by President Trump, via an executive order, is triggering even more worries.

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