Stories by Jim VandeHei

Why Bloomberg might not run

Mike Bloomberg
Photo: Bryan Bedder/Getty Images

Sources close to Mike Bloomberg tell Axios that last week's announcement was partly a trial balloon to gauge interest and preserve the former mayor's options — but his own very extensive polling remains far from convincing.

The big picture: Polling being studied by Bloomberg shows big, perhaps insurmountable hurdles, particularly if Joe Biden stays in. 

How an impeached Trump wins

Trump 2020 illustration
Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

President Trump is showing how he could be impeached, survive and still win re-election, something never done before in American history.

Between the lines: Trump officials think two things must unfold for this to happen: Republicans must stay unified, in votes and voice, and the economy must be strong, in jobs and market returns. The trends are strong on both fronts.

What Matters 2020

What matters for 2020 and beyond

Illustrated collage of a political demonstration overlaid with newspaper clippings, with a big red exclamation point cut out of the center
Photo Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios. Photo by Mark Ralston/AFP via Getty Images

We plan to take a wholly different approach to the 2020 election by focusing on the critical trends that are certain to outlive the moment.

Why it matters: Election coverage is too often myopic and maniacally focused on the daily churn of dust-ups and distractions. Toss in social media, and the emotionalism of the moment, and it’s easy to lose sight of the tectonic shifts unfolding in real time.