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Joe Biden and President Trump at a debate in Ohio. Photo: Jim Watson, Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

Democratic nominee Joe Biden is leading President Trump 49% to 41% in Arizona, according to a new New York Times-Siena College poll.

Why it matters: Arizona carries 11 electoral votes and hasn't voted for a Democratic nominee for president since 1996. The results are essentially unchanged from a Times-Siena poll of the state last month, suggesting Trump remains in a deep hole with less than a month to go until the election.

By the numbers: Biden leads by 9% in Maricopa County, which houses 60% of the state's population in the capital of Phoenix and surrounding suburbs. 6% of likely voters polled statewide said they are still undecided.

Worth noting: In Arizona's closely watched Senate race, Democrat Mark Kelly leads the incumbent Martha McSally 50% to 39%, according to the poll. In last month's survey, Kelly was up 50% to 42%.

Methodology: The poll was conducted on October 1-3, 2020 with 655 Arizona likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points

Go deeper: Cook Political Report moves Arizona from “toss up” to “lean Democrat” in presidential race

Go deeper

Dave Lawler, author of World
Jan 7, 2021 - World

America's global image is in tatters

Data: Pew Research Global Attitudes and Trends; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios

President-elect Biden declared during the siege of the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday that "the world is watching." Indeed, the world was watching long before that.

Why it matters: Biden has made restoring America's global image, leadership and alliances the cornerstone of his foreign policy agenda. That was a tall order even before audiences around the world watched a mob forcefully disrupt America's democratic process.

Updated 1 min ago - Politics & Policy

Cuomo asks for “independent” investigator into sexual harassment claims

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo at a press conference on Feb. 24. Photo: Seth Wenig/pool/AFP via Getty Images

A top aide to Gov. Andrew Cuomo said that he would authorize and "voluntarily cooperate" with an independent investigation run by New York's attorney general into claims he sexually harassed several women.

The state of play: The statement comes after a day of competing statements from Cuomo and AG Letitcia James over who would oversee an independent investigation into the governor.

Cuomo scandal snares Dems on #MeToo

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios. Photo: Ray Tamarra/Getty Images   

The searing sexual harassment allegations made against Gov. Andrew Cuomo are trouble for Democrats far beyond Albany and New York.

Why it matters: They hammered Donald Trump after the "Access Hollywood" tape. Pilloried Brett Kavanaugh over Christine Blasey Ford. Defended President Biden when he was accused of inappropriate touching. Now, Democrats have to show whether they walk the "#MeToo" talk.