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Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

President Trump is expected to announce whether the United States will remain in the Iran nuclear deal this afternoon — though, it seems likely he will choose to withdraw — but most Americans simply don't know enough to have an opinion about the decision, according to new polling.

The bottom line: Trump's decision on Iran will be one of the most significant foreign policy moments of his presidency thus far and risks isolating the U.S. from its allies in Europe. However, per CBS News, more than half of Americans "don't know enough" to evaluate his choice and, per Pew Research, a quarter of Americans have heard "nothing at all" about the deal.

  • And according to another poll from CNN/SRS, which did frame its question with a clear "don't know" option: 63% think the U.S. should remain in the deal while 29% believe it should withdraw.

A smart take on the topic, from The Huffington Post's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy, who addressed the Pew and CNN results:

A tweet previously embedded here has been deleted or was tweeted from an account that has been suspended or deleted.
More top-line numbers

From Pew:

  • Only 27% of Americans say they've heard "a lot" about the Iran nuclear deal, 46% say they have heard "a little," and 26% say they've heard "nothing at all."
  • 40% say they disapprove of the deal, 32% approve, and 28% have no opinion.
  • 34% of Americans say they are not confident at all in Trump's handling of the situation with Iran and 18% are not too confident. On the flip side, 24% are very confident and 16% are somewhat confident.

From CBS News:

  • 57% of those surveyed say they "don't know enough" about the deal.
  • Among those who said they do know enough: 21% said the U.S. should remain in the deal and 21% said the U.S. should leave the deal.

Don't know yourself? Learn the details behind the Iran nuclear deal.

Go deeper

1 hour ago - World

Pentagon warns of ISIS-K capabilities outside Afghanistan

The site of an airstrike conducted by the U.S. against a planner for ISIS-K in Nangarhar province, Afghanistan in August. Photo: Xinhua via Getty Images

U.S. intelligence believes ISIS-K has the "intent" to eventually launch attacks outside of Afghanistan and could be capable of doing so "somewhere between six or 12 months," a top Pentagon official told senators Tuesday.

Why it matters: The U.S. withdrawal and subsequent Taliban takeover of Afghanistan has raised fears that terrorist groups will reconstitute and potentially pose a renewed threat to the U.S. homeland.

Exclusive: Billionaires back new media firm to combat disinformation

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

A new public benefit corporation backed by billionaires Reid Hoffman, George Soros, and others is launching Tuesday to fund new media companies and efforts that tackle disinformation.

Why it matters: Good Information Inc. aims to fund and scale businesses that cut through echo chambers with fact-based information. As part of its mission, it plans to invest in local news companies.

Dan Primack, author of Pro Rata
2 hours ago - Economy & Business

Scoop: Sequoia Capital just blew up the VC fund model

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Sequoia Capital, one of the world's oldest and most successful venture capital firms, is forming a single fund to hold all of its U.S. and European investments, including stakes in publicly-traded companies, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: Venture capital is the money of innovation, but the industry itself rarely innovates. This is a radical exception.

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