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Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

President Trump is expected to announce whether the United States will remain in the Iran nuclear deal this afternoon — though, it seems likely he will choose to withdraw — but most Americans simply don't know enough to have an opinion about the decision, according to new polling.

The bottom line: Trump's decision on Iran will be one of the most significant foreign policy moments of his presidency thus far and risks isolating the U.S. from its allies in Europe. However, per CBS News, more than half of Americans "don't know enough" to evaluate his choice and, per Pew Research, a quarter of Americans have heard "nothing at all" about the deal.

  • And according to another poll from CNN/SRS, which did frame its question with a clear "don't know" option: 63% think the U.S. should remain in the deal while 29% believe it should withdraw.

A smart take on the topic, from The Huffington Post's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy, who addressed the Pew and CNN results:

More top-line numbers

From Pew:

  • Only 27% of Americans say they've heard "a lot" about the Iran nuclear deal, 46% say they have heard "a little," and 26% say they've heard "nothing at all."
  • 40% say they disapprove of the deal, 32% approve, and 28% have no opinion.
  • 34% of Americans say they are not confident at all in Trump's handling of the situation with Iran and 18% are not too confident. On the flip side, 24% are very confident and 16% are somewhat confident.

From CBS News:

  • 57% of those surveyed say they "don't know enough" about the deal.
  • Among those who said they do know enough: 21% said the U.S. should remain in the deal and 21% said the U.S. should leave the deal.

Don't know yourself? Learn the details behind the Iran nuclear deal.

Go deeper

Scoop: Gina Haspel threatened to resign over plan to install Kash Patel as CIA deputy

CIA Director Gina Haspel. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

CIA Director Gina Haspel threatened to resign in early December after President Trump cooked up a hasty plan to install loyalist Kash Patel, a former aide to Rep. Devin Nunes (R-Calif.), as her deputy, according to three senior administration officials with direct knowledge of the matter.

Why it matters: The revelation stunned national security officials and almost blew up the leadership of the world's most powerful spy agency. Only a series of coincidences — and last minute interventions from Vice President Mike Pence and White House counsel Pat Cipollone — stopped it.

Updated 7 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Coronavirus dashboard

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Health: Coronavirus deaths reach 4,000 per day as hospitals remain in crisis mode — CDC warns highly transmissible coronavirus variant could become dominant in U.S. in March.
  2. Politics: Biden says, "We will manage the hell out of" vaccine distribution — Biden taps ex-FDA chief to lead Operation Warp Speed amid rollout of COVID plan — Widow of GOP congressman-elect who died of COVID-19 will run to fill his seat.
  3. Vaccine: Battling Black mistrust of the vaccines"Pharmacy deserts" could become vaccine deserts — Instacart to give $25 to shoppers who get vaccine.
  4. Economy: Unemployment filings explode againFed chair: No interest rate hike coming any time soon —  Inflation rose more than expected in December.
  5. World: WHO team arrives in China to investigate pandemic origins.

John Weaver, Lincoln Project co-founder, acknowledges “inappropriate” messages

John Weaver aboard John McCain's campaign plane in February 2000. Photo: Robert Schmidt/AFP via Getty Images)

John Weaver, a veteran Republican operative who co-founded the Lincoln Project, declared in a statement to Axios on Friday that he sent “inappropriate,” sexually charged messages to multiple men.

  • “To the men I made uncomfortable through my messages that I viewed as consensual mutual conversations at the time: I am truly sorry. They were inappropriate and it was because of my failings that this discomfort was brought on you,” Weaver said.
  • “The truth is that I'm gay,” he added. “And that I have a wife and two kids who I love. My inability to reconcile those two truths has led to this agonizing place.”

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