Updated May 16, 2018

Trump's young Republican problem

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Data: SurveyMonkey. Poll Methodology; Chart: Axios Visuals

There's an enthusiasm gap for President Trump in the Republican Party, with younger Republicans — especially women — less likely to strongly approve of Trump than Republicans age 45 and older, according to a SurveyMonkey analysis of its polls since the start of Trump's presidency.

Why it matters: That could be good for GOP voter turnout, since older voters are traditionally more likely to show up at the polls. But it also suggests Trump's brand of politics is getting a more skeptical look from the younger voters who are the future of the party.

Go deeper: See SurveyMonkey's full analysis of polling during the Trump administration.

Methodology: This analysis is based on 929,225 interviews of adults nationwide interviewed in SurveyMonkey tracking polls conducted continuously between Feb. 1, 2017 and May 9, 2018. Respondents for these surveys were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data were weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography using the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States.

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2024 lookahead poll: GOP voters eye Trump dynasty

Data: Online SurveyMonkey poll (Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points). Chart: Axios Visuals

Ready to skip 2020 and go straight to 2024? In a SurveyMonkey poll for Axios, Republican voters chose children of President Trump — Don Jr. and Ivanka — as two of the top four picks for president in four years.

  • Why it matters: An early poll like this is largely a measure of name ID. But it's also a vivid illustration of just how strong Trump's brand is with the GOP.
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Biden only Democrat beating Trump in Florida, Virginia polls

Former Vice President Joe Biden. Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the only 2020 Democratic candidate beating President Trump in polls of Florida and Virginia published by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy on Tuesday.

Why it matters: The 42 electoral votes between the two swing states could prove pivotal in the 2020 election. Trump carried Florida by about a point in 2016, while his opponent Hillary Clinton won by about 5 points in Virginia.

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Why 50+ women care about 2020

Data: AARP/Harris Poll; Chart: Axios Visuals

A new AARP survey by the Harris Poll examined what's driving women 50 and older ahead of next year's elections and found health care on top. The survey also found that older women’s concerns about Trump are eroding, but not upending, his support with Republicans and independents.

Why it matters: As the House of Representatives prepares to impeach the president, the priorities for this group of high-propensity voters are closer to home and different from what their male counterparts care most about.

Go deeperArrowDec 18, 2019