Nov 3, 2024 - Politics & Policy
Blue state deciders
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Keep your focus on New York and California if you want to know who'll control the House next year.
Why it matters: Each state contains enough battleground House districts to determine control of the chamber. Republicans currently have a 5-seat edge.
New York alone contains seven districts rated as some degree of competitive by Cook Political Report.
- GOP Rep. Brandon Williams' race is rated "lean Democrat," while GOP Reps. Anthony D'Esposito and Marc Molinaro are both in toss-up seats.
- The other two Republicans, Reps. Mike Lawler and Nick LaLota, are rated "lean" and "likely" Republican, respectively.
- Democratic Reps. Pat Ryan and Tom Suozzi are rated "lean" and "likely" Democratic, respectively.
Zoom in: California will be one of the last states to fully report its results.
- The state has 10 competitive seats, seven held by Republicans and three by Democrats.
- Five of those Republican seats — held by Reps. John Duarte, David Valadao, Mike Garcia, Ken Calvert and Michelle Steel – are rated toss-ups by Cook.
— Andrew Solender
