Schumer floats history-making votes on abortion and voting rights

• His comments could also drive a split in his own caucus over blowing up the Senate's guardrails.

Zoom in: Schumer's plan would move the Senate closer to getting rid of the filibuster, a longtime rule that requires 60 votes instead of a simple 50 vote majority to advance legislation.

• Schumer said he has a chance at getting it done in 2025 because Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Az.) and Joe Manchin (I-W.V.) — who used to be Democrats — are leaving the Senate.
• Sinema and Manchin stood in the way of a similar attempt from Democrats two years ago on a voting rights package.
• Schumer pointed out that Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), running for Senate, supports the idea.

Reality check: Multiple Democratic sources told Axios that there were more than two Democrats privately opposed to the filibuster carve-out in 2022.

• If the same level of opposition continues, the sources said, it would be a heavier lift for Schumer to bypass the filibuster for abortion and voting rights than he thinks.

The bottom line: Schumer seemed confident that he will keep his Senate majority.

• He'll need Democratic Senate campaigns to over-perform just to keep a 50-50 tie.
• "Our candidates are running even further ahead than we expected at this point," Schumer said.