Why it matters: The diverging direction of a couple of key consumer stocks shows how investors foresee tougher times ahead for American households.
That would benefit retailers with rock-bottom prices (like Dollar Tree), which tend to gain business during downturns.
The big picture: While these are just two stocks, we've seen a sudden move away from consumer stocks that rely on discretionary spending this year.
The S&P 500's consumer discretionary sector is the worst-performing part of the S&P 500, down more than 33% in 2022 while the overall index shed 21%.
The discretionary sector includes a wide swath of companies that rely on people's optional spending — like airlines, cruise companies, casinos, and even homebuilders.