Aug 11, 2021 - Politics & Policy

America's white population expected to shrink

A diverse crowd of new Americans at a naturalization ceremony.
Immigrants being sworn in as United States citizens in El Paso, Texas. (Photo by Paul Ratje / AFP via Getty Images)

The number of white people in the United States is expected to show a decline in the latest U.S. Census Bureau data for the first time since the census' inception, reports the Washington Post.

The big picture: If this projection is borne out by the census data — set to be released this week — it will mean the white decline has come around eight years earlier than experts predicted, William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, told the Post.

The U.S. population is expected to show just 7.4% growth in the last decade — the slowest in history, except for the 1930s. The bulk of the growth is from people of color.

  • Hispanic people are projected to account for half of the population growth.
  • The share of Asians in the U.S. is expected to jump from 3% in 2010 to 6% in 2020. The share of Black people holds steady at 12.5%.
Go deeper