New Republican poll shows statistical tie in Georgia

By the numbers: The Preserve America poll, conducted by Adam Geller, surveyed 500 likely voters over the weekend and included both cellphones and landlines. The survey had a margin of error of ±4.38 percentage points.

• Perdue had 45% of the vote to Ossoff's 46%.
• Loeffler also had 45% to Warnock's 46%.

The intrigue: The poll cast in stark relief how Democrats have banked early support: Some 54% of respondents said they had already returned their ballots.

• Among early voters, Ossoff was up in his race over Perdue 54%-36%; and Warnock led Loeffler by a 54%-37% margin.
• Among those who haven't voted, Perdue led 56%-38%; Loeffler had a 55%-36% advantage.
• Turnout will be key in determining the winners and the resulting balance of power in the U.S. Senate.

Be smart: Half of the poll was conducted after the revelations on Sunday afternoon that President Trump called Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger and asked him to "find" enough ballots to declare him the winner in November's election.