Jul 10, 2018

Go deeper: How the Senate races look with multiple voter assumptions

A new Axios/SurveyMonkey poll shows how each party would perform in 13 Senate races under six different scenarios that measure potential turnout.

*Incumbent; Data: Survey Monkey poll of 12,677 registered voters from June 11 to July 2, 2018. Poll methodology; Chart: Chris Canipe/Axios

Go deeper with analysis from SurveyMonkey: "For now, the most consistent finding from our results is that the Democratic candidates do best either among all registered voters or among those who say they are either absolutely or at least somewhat certain to vote."

  • "Republicans do consistently best in a probabilistic scenario based on modeling the 2014 election, not surprising since that election featured a considerable GOP turnout advantage. Beyond that, the outlook on how much Democrats might benefit from turnout remains hazy."

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Trump ahead of Democratic rivals in new poll

President Trump during a meeting in the Cabinet Room of the White House on Monday. Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

President Trump is ahead of all Democratic 2020 candidates in a USA Today/Suffolk University poll published Monday.

Why it matters: The poll of 1,000 registered voters was conducted Dec. 10–14 as House Democrats prepared stepped up their case for the president's impeachment. It's a boost for Trump ahead of the impeachment vote, expected Wednesday.

Go deeperArrowDec 17, 2019

2024 lookahead poll: GOP voters eye Trump dynasty

Data: Online SurveyMonkey poll (Margin of error: ±2.5 percentage points). Chart: Axios Visuals

Ready to skip 2020 and go straight to 2024? In a SurveyMonkey poll for Axios, Republican voters chose children of President Trump — Don Jr. and Ivanka — as two of the top four picks for president in four years.

  • Why it matters: An early poll like this is largely a measure of name ID. But it's also a vivid illustration of just how strong Trump's brand is with the GOP.
Go deeperArrowUpdated Jan 4, 2020

Poll: Fewer than half of Americans think Trump should be removed

Photo: Jess Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll released Thursday found that less than half of Americans polled believe Donald Trump, now the third president in U.S. history to be impeached, should be convicted in a Senate trial and removed from office.

Why it matters: The poll, conducted hours after the House charged Trump with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, signifies that voters remain divided on impeachment and found that Wednesday's vote did little to change public opinion.

Go deeperArrowDec 19, 2019