Photo: Samuel Corum/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

America First Action, the Trump-aligned super PAC, is planning to put $2 million behind GOP candidate Mike Braun in Indiana's Senate race and an additional $300,000 behind Carol Miller in the House race for West Virginia's 3rd district.

Why it matters: Things don't look great for Republicans in these races. Democrats are leading recent polls in both of them. Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly has nearly six times as much cash-on-hand as Braun. And no other major outside GOP group is investing in the West Virginia race yet.

  • The group is also spending $1.5 million on the Montana Senate race. Most of the money in these races will be spent on TV advertisements.

The bottom line: America First Action is "closely watching both the House and the Senate" to invest "in races where we see both a need and opportunity," said Alex Titus, one of the group's policy advisors.

Go deeper: The 12 other races getting a boost from America First Action.

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"Hamilton" is a streaming hit for Disney+

Data: Google Trends; Chart: Andrew Witherspoon/Axios

The debut of "Hamilton" on Disney+ last Friday sent downloads of the app soaring over the weekend.

Why it matters: With theaters closed until 2021, "Hamilton" is the biggest litmus test for whether Broadway will ever be able to successfully transition some of its iconic hits.

Wall Street is no longer betting on Trump

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

Betting markets have turned decisively toward an expected victory for Joe Biden in November — and asset managers at major investment banks are preparing for not only a Biden win, but potentially a Democratic sweep of the Senate and House too.

Why it matters: Wall Street had its chips on a Trump win until recently — even in the midst of the coronavirus-induced recession and Biden's rise in the polls.

With new security law, China outlaws global activism

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios

The draconian security law that Beijing forced upon Hong Kong last week contains an article making it illegal for anyone in the world to promote democratic reform for Hong Kong.

Why it matters: China has long sought to crush organized dissent abroad through quiet threats and coercion. Now it has codified that practice into law — potentially forcing people and companies around the world to choose between speaking freely and ever stepping foot in Hong Kong again.