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Here's a breakdown of the 12 races where two Trump-aligned outside groups are planning to spend a combined $12.5 million after Labor Day.

Expand chart
Data: America First Action, America First Policies and Cook Political Report; Chart: Chris Canipe/Axios

Why it matters: This is the first round of planned spending from the two GOP groups, and it shows which races Republicans are most worried about heading into November.

Between the lines: All of these races are places where Trump won in 2016. Both Minnesota races are open seats, which are historically easier to flip.

  • The most surprising investment is the nearly $1 million in North Carolina's 13th district, because it's favorable to Republicans and held by GOP Rep. Ted Budd. He's been out-raised by his Democratic challenger.
  • Another outside group, the Congressional Leadership Fund, is investing heavily in 25 races — only 5 of which overlap with American First Action.
  • The money will be spent on TV, digital, and radio ads.

"These are not easy races," Brian Walsh, president of America First Action, said in a statement. "They represent some of the most difficult in the nation." But the groups hope their financial investment will help Republicans hold the House and expand their majority in the Senate.

Go deeper

Senate confirms retired Gen. Lloyd Austin as defense secretary

Photo: Greg Nash-Pool/Getty Images

The Senate voted 93-2 on Friday to confirm retired Gen. Lloyd Austin as secretary of defense. Sens. Mike Lee (R-Utah) and Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) were the sole "no" votes.

Why it matters: Austin is the first Black American to lead the Pentagon and President Biden's second Cabinet nominee to be confirmed.

House will transmit article of impeachment to Senate on Monday, Schumer says

Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced that the House will deliver the article of impeachment against former President Trump for "incitement of insurrection" on Monday.

Why it matters: The Senate is required to begin the impeachment trial at 1pm the day after the article is transmitted.

Dan Primack, author of Pro Rata
2 hours ago - Politics & Policy

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In normal times, private equity would be nervous about Democratic Party control of both the White House and Congress. But in pandemic-consumed 2021, the industry seems sanguine.

Driving the news: Industry executives and lobbyists paid very close attention to Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen's confirmation hearings this week, and came away convinced that tax reform isn't on the near-term agenda.