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May 6, 2017 - Politics & Policy

The AHCA could hurt these Republicans in 2018

Shannon Vavra

There are some House Republicans whose districts are largely Democratic, so their vote in favor of the AHCA will likely create an uphill battle come re-election time in 2018.

Here's the breakdown of how the GOP representatives who are headed into "competitive races," per the Cook Political report, fared the last time they were elected in their home districts compared to the margins in their home districts for Trump or Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.

Data: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, Daily Kos, Cook Political Report Methodology: We took the GOP representatives that the Cook Political Report identified as being in "competitive races" that also voted for the GOP healthcare bill Thursday. We left out Sessions and Rohrabacher from the chart because they were outliers in their win margins for their own districts were off the charts.
Data: Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, Daily Kos, Cook Political Report Methodology: We took the GOP representatives that the Cook Political Report identified as being in "competitive races" that also voted for the GOP healthcare bill Thursday. We left out Sessions and Rohrabacher from the chart because they were outliers in their win margins for their own districts were off the charts.
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