May 15, 2018

Mexico not optimistic on NAFTA deal wrapping soon

Canada's Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mexico's Economy Minister, and U.S. Trade Representative Bob Lighthizer. Photo: Ronaldo Schemidt/AFP/Getty Images

Mexico’s economy minister, Ildefonso Guajardo, said he does not think we will have a NAFTA deal wrapped up by Thursday, the deadline that would allow the U.S. Congress to vote on the package before the next Congress is sworn in next January.

Temper that: Trump’s Director of the National Economic Council, Larry Kudlow, told an Axios audience today that his optimism about the deal overall is “not great.”

Why it matters: If the blue wave really is coming this year to Capitol Hill, it is possible that the makeup of Congress next January will not back Trump’s moves to rewrite NAFTA and could derail the next proposal comes down the pike.

The other side: Canada’s Justin Trudeau: “There is very much an eminently achievable outcome...and we are very close.”

Be smart: Mexico has said it will continue negotiating past this Thursday, regardless of which Congress — old or new — will be voting on the renegotiation.

  • Yes but: U.S. Trade Representative Bob Lighthizer has threatened a retreat from the deal as a hardline. To be determined if he actually takes the hard line.

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Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

  1. Global: Total confirmed cases as of 3 p.m. ET: 6,703,686 — Total deaths: 393,393 — Total recoveries — 2,906,748Map.
  2. U.S.: Total confirmed cases as of 3 p.m. ET: 1,885,197 — Total deaths: 108,708 — Total recoveries: 485,002 — Total tested: 18,680,529Map.
  3. Public health: WHCA president says White House violated social-distancing guidelines to make reporters "a prop" — Jailing practices contribute to spread.
  4. States: Cities are retooling public transit to lure riders back.
  5. Jobs: Better-than-expected jobs report boosts stock market.
  6. Media: The Athletic lays off 8% of staff, implements company-wide pay cut.

Scoop: German foreign minister to travel to Israel with warning on annexation

Heiko Maas. Photo: Michael Kappeler/picture alliance via Getty Images

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas is expected to travel to Israel next week to warn that there will be consequences if Israeli leaders move forward with plans to annex parts of the West Bank, Israeli officials and European diplomats tell me.

Why it matters: Israeli and European officials agree that if Israel goes ahead with unilateral annexation, the EU will respond with sanctions.

Minneapolis will ban police chokeholds following George Floyd's death

A memorial for George Floyd at the site of his death in Minneapolis. Photo: Steel Brooks/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

Minneapolis has agreed to ban the use of police chokeholds and will require nearby officers to act to stop them in the wake of George Floyd's death, AP reports.

Why it matters: The agreement between the city and the Minnesota Department of Human Rights, which has launched an investigation into Floyd's death while in police custody, will be enforceable in court.