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Andrew Harnik/AP

The first big Obamacare rule from the Trump administration may try to help insurers in some ways, like tightening the enrollment rules and letting them charge older customers more. But a new study out today sends a strong signal about what they really need to stay in the Obamacare markets: They want to be paid back for the subsidies they've paid out to low-income customers.

The study — conducted by Milliman for the Association for Community Affiliated Plans, a group representing safety-net insurers — concluded that there would be "significant losses for many insurers in the individual market" if the Trump administration and Congress don't reimburse them for the cost-sharing reduction subsidies.

Why it matters: The payments are up in the air right now because of a lawsuit House Republicans filed against the Obama administration, arguing that the subsidies were paid illegally because Congress never provided the money for them. A federal judge ruled against the subsidies, and if the Trump administration decides to drop the appeal, the payments could stop.

Key numbers:

  • Customers who got the subsidies in 2014: 3.1 million
  • Payments to insurers: $2.8 billion
  • Customers who got the subsidies in 2015: 5.2 million
  • Payments to insurers: $4.9 billion
  • Customers who got the subsidies in first half of 2016: 5.9 million

Go deeper

NRA files for bankruptcy, says it will reincorporate in Texas

Wayne LaPierre of the National Rifle Association (NRA) speaks during CPAC in 2016. Photo: Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

The National Rifle Association said Friday it has filed for voluntary bankruptcy as part of a restructuring plan.

Driving the news: The gun rights group said it would reincorporate in Texas, calling New York, where it is currently registered, a "toxic political environment." Last year, New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit to dissolve the NRA, alleging the group committed fraud by diverting roughly $64 million in charitable donations over three years to support reckless spending by its executives.

39 mins ago - Politics & Policy

Biden: "We will manage the hell out of" vaccine distribution

Joe Biden. Photo: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images

President-elect Joe Biden promised to invoke the Defense Production Act to increase vaccine manufacturing, as he outlined a five-point plan to administer 100 million COVID-19 vaccinations in the first months of his presidency.

Why it matters: With the Center for Disease Control and Prevention warning of a more contagious variant of the coronavirus, Biden is trying to establish how he’ll approach the pandemic differently than President Trump.

A new Washington

Photo: Stefani Reynolds/Getty Image

D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser said Friday that the city should expect a "new normal" for security — even after President-elect Biden's inauguration.

The state of play: Inaugurations are usually a point of celebration in D.C., but over 20,000 troops are now patrolling Washington streets in an unprecedented preparation for Biden's swearing-in on Jan. 20.