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Reproduced from KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor; Chart: Axios Visuals

The share of Americans who say they won’t get vaccinated is already small enough that the U.S. should be able to reach herd immunity even if the most reluctant people don’t change their minds.

By the numbers: According to the KFF Vaccine Monitor, 57% of adults either have already received at least one dose of a vaccine or plan to get vaccinated as soon as they can.

  • Another 22% are in a “wait and see” group, which has been shrinking.

Between the lines: Think of the “wait and see” group like persuadable swing voters.

  • Many are likely to get vaccinated as they see family members, friends and neighbors vaccinated without adverse effect.
  • This group, which has also been shrinking, should be the focus of efforts to build confidence in the vaccines’ safety and efficacy, especially in Black and Latino communities where both information and access are barriers to vaccination.

15% say they don’t want to get vaccinated, and 7% say they’ll only get vaccinated if they’re required to at work. These numbers haven’t really budged since December.

  • Even if the vaccine resisters don’t switch, it’s pretty easy to see how the country could vaccinate at least 70% of adults.
  • Children are not yet eligible for the vaccine, but we can imagine them getting vaccinated at similar or greater rates than adults.

The bottom line: Many lower-income and working people do want to get vaccinated, but simply can’t access vaccine sites or navigate the online appointment system.

Go deeper.

Go deeper

Feb 28, 2021 - Health

U.S. sets weekend records for daily COVID vaccinations

A driver waits to receive the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine in Inglewood, California on Feb. 26. Photo: Eric Thayer/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Just over 2.4 million coronavirus vaccinations were reported to the CDC on Sunday, matching Saturday's record-high for inoculations as seen in Bloomberg's vaccine tracker.

Why it matters: Vaccinations are ramping up again after widespread delays caused by historic winter storms. Over 75 million vaccine doses have been administered thus far, with 7.5% of the population fully vaccinated and 15% having received at least one dose.

Updated 19 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Omicron dashboard

Illustration: Brendan Lynch/Axios

  1. Health: Omicron pushes COVID deaths toward 2,000 per day — The pandemic-proof health care giant.
  2. Vaccines: No evidence that healthy children, teens need boosters, WHO says — Starbucks drops worker vaccine or test requirement after SCOTUS ruling — Kids' COVID vaccination rates are particularly low in rural America.
  3. Politics: Biden concedes U.S. should have done more testing — Arizona says it "will not be intimidated" by Biden on anti-mask school policies.
  4. World: American Airlines flight to London forced to turn around over mask dispute — WHO: COVID health emergency could end this year — Greece imposes vaccine mandate for people 60 and older.
  5. Variant tracker

More surprises await scientists at Antarctica's "Doomsday Glacier"

Cliffs along the edge of the Thwaites Ice Shelf in West Antarctica. Photo: James Yungel/NASA

Researchers like David Holland, an atmospheric scientist at New York University, are in a race to understand the fate of a massive glacier in West Antarctica that has earned a disquieting nickname: "The Doomsday Glacier."

Why it matters: Studies show the Thwaites Glacier (its official name) could already be on an irreversible course to melt during the next several decades to centuries, freeing up enough inland ice to raise global sea levels by at least several feet.