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Infrared satellite image showing Tropical Storm Grace on Aug. 17. Image: CIRA/RAMMB

Tropical Storm Grace has been drenching Haiti with heavy rain of up to 15 inches just days after the country was hit by a devastating earthquake. Social media posts show flooded roadways and homes.

Why it matters: The storm, with relatively weak winds of 50 mph, brought heavy rains at a time when many families were staying in temporary shelters after their homes were destroyed during the earthquake.

Details: As of 11am ET, Tropical Storm Grace was near the northwest coast of Jamaica, and it was intensifying with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. The storm is still producing heavy rains in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, with flooding and mudslides possible Tuesday.

What's next: The storm is expected to pull away from Jamaica by Tuesday night then intensify into a hurricane during the next two days as it moves west-northwest toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula.

  • After crossing the Yucatan, most computer model projections show Tropical Storm Grace reintensifying into a hurricane, though how strong this storm will become is subject to considerable uncertainty.
  • Ultimately, it is forecast to strike the Mexican coast south of Texas on Friday into Saturday.

Between the lines: There is a chance that the storm could intensify rapidly prior to its encounter with the Yucatan, given that it will be traversing extremely warm ocean waters with relatively favorable atmospheric conditions, but forecasting such bursts of intensity — which are becoming more common with climate change — is quite challenging.

Go deeper

Oct 6, 2021 - Science

European rainfall record set in Italy after 12-hour deluge

Flooding in the Liguria region of Italy on Monday. Photo: Liguria President Giovanni Toti/Facebook

Northwestern Italy has been hit by record rainfall from a complex of thunderstorms, triggering flooding and mudslides, per AP.

By the numbers: 29.2 inches of rain fell in 12 hours on Monday in Rossiglione, Genoa province, just south of Milan. That's a new, all-time European record, meteorologists noted Tuesday.

Updated 3 hours ago - World

North Korea claims latest missile test new weapon launched from submarine

North Korean state media claims the country's military fired this missile on Tuesday. Photo: Korean Central News Agency

North Korean state media announced that a detected ballistic missile launch off its east coast on Tuesday was a newly developed weapon test-fired from a submarine.

Why it matters: Pyongyang's latest in a series of recent missile launches into the sea happened hours after U.S. officials emphasized their commitment to restart negotiations on North Korea's nuclear weapons program, which have stalled since talks broke down during the Trump administration, AP notes.

5 hours ago - Politics & Policy

Manchin's massive means test

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) is offering progressives a trade: He'll vote for their cherished social programs if they accept strict income caps for the recipients, people familiar with the matter tell Axios.

Why it matters: Manchin’s plan to use so-called means-testing for everything from paid family medical leave to elder and disabled care would drastically shrink the size and scope of the programs. It also would bring a key moderate vote to the progressive cause.

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